Montana Aerospace AG (MTASF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $1.7B
Montana Aerospace AG
MTASF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $13.05 to $13.15 (+0.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +21.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($10.02 to $18.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range $25.71 – $32.69 · fair‑value band $10.02 – $18.85 · the $32.69 price screens above the $13.15 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Montana Aerospace AG (MTASF) currently trades at $32.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.15, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Montana Aerospace AG generated revenue of $997M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $76.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.02 (bear case) to $18.85 (bull case); at $32.69, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -60%, MTASF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($16.17) versus Earnings-Based ($6.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Montana Aerospace AG design, develop, and manufacture system components and complex assemblies worldwide and complex assemblies worldwide. The company operates through Aerostructures and Alpine Metal Tech segments.
Full company description
Montana Aerospace AG design, develop, and manufacture system components and complex assemblies worldwide and complex assemblies worldwide. The company operates through Aerostructures and Alpine Metal Tech segments. It manufactures mission-critical components for aviation and space applications, which includes structural components for fuselage, wings, and landing gear; critical engine parts exposed to thermal and mechanical stresses; and large-format extrusion products, as well as high-precision titanium and aluminum components. The company also provides customized high-tech solutions for the steel, automotive, aerospace industries. In addition, it provides machines and automation solutions for machining, production control/optimization, testing, handling, and surface inspection of aluminum wheels for the aerospace, automotive, railway, and steel industries. Montana Aerospace AG was founded in 1814 and is headquartered in Reinach, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Montana Aerospace AG reported revenue of $979M in FY2025 versus $790M in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.1M in FY2025.
MTASF screens 60% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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