Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Minerals Technologies Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.85 – $87.72 · fair‑value band $50.62 – $151.01 · the $66.67 price screens below the $107.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.
Minerals Technologies Inc. develops, produces, and markets various mineral, mineral-based products and services. The company operates through two segments, Consumer & Specialties, and Engineered Solutions segments.
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Minerals Technologies Inc. develops, produces, and markets various mineral, mineral-based products and services. The company operates through two segments, Consumer & Specialties, and Engineered Solutions segments. The Consumer & Specialties segment offers household and personal care products, such as cat litter under the SIVO brand name, personal care, fabric care, edible oil and renewable fluid purification, animal health, and agricultural products; and specialty additives products, including precipitated calcium carbonate and ground calcium carbonate products that are used in the paper, paperboard, and fiber-based packaging industries, as well as automotive, construction, consumer markets, and packaging applications. The Engineered Solutions segment provides high-temperature technology products consisting of custom-blended mineral and non-mineral products for casting auto and heavy truck parts, agriculture and construction equipment, municipal, infrastructure and other industrial castings markets; and environmental and infrastructure products comprising geosynthetic clay lining systems, vapor intrusion mitigation products, sub surface waterproofing systems, green roofs, wastewater remediation, drinking water purification technologies, and drilling products. In addition, this segment offers gunnable monolithic refractory products and application systems; monolithic refractory materials and pre-cast refractory shapes; refractory shapes and linings; carbon composites and pyrolitic graphite under PYROID brand; and filtration and well testing services. It markets its products primarily through its direct sales force, as well as regional distributors. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, Africa, and Asia. Minerals Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) currently trades at $66.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $107.09, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $106.23 per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the $66.67 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $19.82, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $50.62 (bear) to $151.01 (bull), the price of $66.67 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Minerals Technologies Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$18.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.1B · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) $5.09 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 61%, MTX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $50.62Fair Value $107.09Bull $151.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.36 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.1% (2020) → 13.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Minerals Technologies Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 705 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+58% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.56× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Is Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $107.09 versus a price of $66.67, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MTX?
Our model-based fair value for Minerals Technologies Inc is $107.09 (as of Sep 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $66.67.
What is the quality score of MTX?
Minerals Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $107.09 (as of Sep 20, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $50.62, optimistic scenario $151.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minerals Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $107.09, about +61% upside versus a price of $66.67 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $50.62, optimistic scenario $151.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Minerals Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 20, 2026).
Does Minerals Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
Minerals Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 20, 2026).
What growth is priced into Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Minerals Technologies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Sep 20, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MTX use?
Our models discount Minerals Technologies Inc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.12, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Minerals Technologies Inc that is +18.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Minerals Technologies Inc grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +18.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Minerals Technologies Inc (+18.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.14 %: that much free cash flow Minerals Technologies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minerals Technologies Inc it is $107.09 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026), against a price of $66.67. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minerals Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 20, 2026, MTX trades below its calculated fair value: price $66.67, fair value $107.09, a gap of about +61% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($66.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($107.09). For Minerals Technologies Inc the two are $40.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minerals Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Minerals Technologies Inc at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 20, 2026). Per share that is $66.67; our models calculate a fair value of $107.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTX?
Our models span a range for Minerals Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $50.62, base $107.09, optimistic $151.01 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026, price $66.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MTX?
Minerals Technologies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Sep 20, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $107.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 1.3, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
What is the PEG ratio of MTX?
The PEG ratio of Minerals Technologies Inc is 2.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 20, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minerals Technologies Inc (as of Sep 20, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.56 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTX from its 52-week high?
Minerals Technologies Inc trades at $66.67, about 21% below its 52-week high of $84.21 and 26% above the low of $52.73 (as of Sep 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $107.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minerals Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minerals Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 20, 2026: price $66.67, calculated fair value $107.09 (+61%), Quality Score 54/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTX calculated?
We run Minerals Technologies Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $107.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Minerals Technologies Inc currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $66.67. Our model-based fair value is $107.09, about +61% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minerals Technologies Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($50.62 to $151.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) come from?
Earnings per share at Minerals Technologies Inc grew +2.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.5 %, EBIT margin −3.5 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Minerals Technologies Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The market capitalisation of Minerals Technologies Inc is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minerals Technologies Inc is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Earnings per share at Minerals Technologies Inc are $5.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The dividend yield of Minerals Technologies Inc is 0.7% (payout 9.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The net margin of Minerals Technologies Inc is −0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minerals Technologies Inc is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minerals Technologies Inc is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
The operating margin of Minerals Technologies Inc is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Revenue at Minerals Technologies Inc is growing +11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX)?
Earnings per share at Minerals Technologies Inc are growing −28.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Minerals Technologies Inc (MTX) carry?
The net debt of Minerals Technologies Inc is $717M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 20, 2026