Paul Mueller Company (MUEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $400M

A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range ($371.05 to $876.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.25 – $528.93 · fair‑value band $371.05 – $876.42 · the $460.01 price screens below the $571.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Paul Mueller Company (MUEL) currently trades at $460.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $571.25, implying the stock looks roughly 24.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Paul Mueller Company generated revenue of $294M at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $22.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $371.05 (bear case) to $876.42 (bull case); at $460.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 24%, MUEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($674.17) versus Dividend Discount ($12.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Paul Mueller Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides manufactured equipment and components in the United States, North America, the Netherlands, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four reportable segments: Refrigeration and Heat Transfer, Industrial Equipment, Transportation, and European Operations.

Full company description

Paul Mueller Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides manufactured equipment and components in the United States, North America, the Netherlands, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four reportable segments: Refrigeration and Heat Transfer, Industrial Equipment, Transportation, and European Operations. The Refrigeration and Heat Transfer segment provides milk cooling and storage equipment and accessories, refrigeration units, and heat recovery equipment and heat transfer products for use on dairy farms to independent dairy farm dealers; and services for farmers, as well as milk coolers for rent to farmers. The Industrial Equipment segment sells stainless steel, alloy processing, storage tanks, and pure water equipment. The Transportation segment offers delivery of products to customers; backhauls of materials and components; and contract carriage for third parties. The European Operations segment provides milk cooling and storage; and process tanks and heat transfer products. It serves its products in various industries, such as animal health, beverage, brewing, chemical, dairy farm, dairy processing, food, heat transfer, HVAC, industrial construction, oil and gas, personal care, pharmaceuticals, pure water, tank fabrication, and wine. Paul Mueller Company was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Paul Mueller Company reported revenue of $287M in FY2025 versus $185M in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was $34.7M in FY2025, compounding +49.2%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.