Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Narmada Agrobase Limited ₹9.95, price ₹12.31, upside -19.2%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹4.76 – ₹21.78 · fair‑value band ₹5.44 – ₹13.09 · the ₹12.31 price screens above the ₹9.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Narmada Agrobase Limited manufactures and sells cotton seeds and cattle feeds in India. The company offers cotton seed meal, bleached cotton linters, gwar korma, maize meal, multi grain meal, maize oil cakes, cotton seed oil cakes, cotton linters, poultry feeds, mesh and pellet cattle feed, and delinted cotton seeds.
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Narmada Agrobase Limited manufactures and sells cotton seeds and cattle feeds in India. The company offers cotton seed meal, bleached cotton linters, gwar korma, maize meal, multi grain meal, maize oil cakes, cotton seed oil cakes, cotton linters, poultry feeds, mesh and pellet cattle feed, and delinted cotton seeds. Its products are used for fertilizers and animal feed, as well as various industries, including furniture, paper, yarns, absorbent cotton, etc. The company offers its products under the Churma, and Gaay Chhaap Narmada Pashu Aahar brands. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA) currently trades at ₹12.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹9.95, 19.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹20.64 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹12.31 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹5.24, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹5.44 (bear) to ₹13.09 (bull), the price of ₹12.31 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Narmada Agrobase Limited reported revenue of ₹784M in FY2026 versus ₹350M in FY2022, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹38.6M in FY2026, compounding +58.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.0B (≈ $10.5M) · P/E ratio 25.6 · P/S ratio 1.26 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.4800 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at −19%, NARMADA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹5.44Fair Value ₹9.95Bull ₹13.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2433 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.1% vs 22.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 79% above its own trend.
Compare Narmada Agrobase Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 170 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−19.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.7% · Above median
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth100.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
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Is Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹9.95 versus a price of ₹12.31, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NARMADA?
Our model-based fair value for Narmada Agrobase Limited is ₹9.95 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹12.31.
What is the quality score of NARMADA?
Narmada Agrobase Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹9.95 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹5.44, optimistic scenario ₹13.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Narmada Agrobase Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹9.95, about −19% upside versus a price of ₹12.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹5.44, optimistic scenario ₹13.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Narmada Agrobase Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹896M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Narmada Agrobase Limited it is ₹9.95 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹12.31. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Narmada Agrobase Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NARMADA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹12.31, fair value ₹9.95, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NARMADA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹12.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹9.95). For Narmada Agrobase Limited the two are ₹2.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Narmada Agrobase Limited worth?
The market values Narmada Agrobase Limited at about ₹1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹12.31; our models calculate a fair value of ₹9.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NARMADA?
Our models span a range for Narmada Agrobase Limited: cautious scenario ₹5.44, base ₹9.95, optimistic ₹13.09 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹12.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NARMADA?
Narmada Agrobase Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹9.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 20.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Narmada Agrobase Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NARMADA from its 52-week high?
Narmada Agrobase Limited trades at ₹12.31, about 43% below its 52-week high of ₹21.78 and 20% above the low of ₹10.26 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹9.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Narmada Agrobase Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Narmada Agrobase Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹12.31, calculated fair value ₹9.95 (−19%), Quality Score 40/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NARMADA calculated?
We run Narmada Agrobase Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹9.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Narmada Agrobase Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹12.31. Our model-based fair value is ₹9.95, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Narmada Agrobase Limited right now?
Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹5.44 to ₹13.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA) come from?
Earnings per share at Narmada Agrobase Limited grew +21.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.8 %, EBIT margin +8.5 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +13.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Narmada Agrobase Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
The market capitalisation of Narmada Agrobase Limited is ₹1.0B (≈ $10.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Narmada Agrobase Limited is 1.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Earnings per share at Narmada Agrobase Limited are ₹0.4800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
The net margin of Narmada Agrobase Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Narmada Agrobase Limited is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Narmada Agrobase Limited is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
The operating margin of Narmada Agrobase Limited is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Revenue at Narmada Agrobase Limited is growing +101% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA)?
Earnings per share at Narmada Agrobase Limited are growing −25.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA) generate?
The free cash flow of Narmada Agrobase Limited is −₹9.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Narmada Agrobase Limited (NARMADA) hold?
Narmada Agrobase Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹2.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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