Nation Group (NATION) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · TH · Market cap 708M THB
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 47 days ago
Share price +33.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0300 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0200 THB – 0.2055 THB · fair‑value band 0.0200 THB – 0.0300 THB · the 0.0400 THB price screens above the 0.0200 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
Analysis
Nation Group (NATION) currently trades at 0.0400 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0200 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nation Group generated revenue of 926M THB at a net margin of -11.2%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. Net debt stands at 273M THB. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0200 THB (bear case) to 0.0300 THB (bull case); at 0.0400 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 300% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -50%, NATION screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nation Group (Thailand) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes newspapers in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Publishing and Online Advertising and Related Event; Broadcasting and Online Media and Related Event; Online Media and Related Event; and Others.
Full company description
Nation Group (Thailand) Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes newspapers in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Publishing and Online Advertising and Related Event; Broadcasting and Online Media and Related Event; Online Media and Related Event; and Others. The company publishes Bangkok Business News, a daily business newspaper; and offers publishing and advertising services through newspapers, online media, and related events. It also produces and distributes news and educational television programs; delivers news and information through various online media platforms under the Kom Chad Luek, Nation Story, Spring, Khob Sanam, Post Today, Thai News, and The People brand names; and provides media production, distribution, promotion, and commerce, as well as sale of advertising media through ad networks. In addition, the company engages in event marketing, including events, seminars, and executive training programs; sale of goods and services through digital TV and online media under the HAPPY Shopping brand name; and sale of food and beverage, as well as feature of coffee shops and bakeries under the Nation Coffee brand name. Further, it is involved in football field rental. The company was formerly known as Nation Multimedia Group Public Company Limited and changed its name to Nation Group (Thailand) Public Company Limited in May 2022. Nation Group (Thailand) Public Company Limited was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nation Group reported revenue of 918M THB in FY2025 versus 703M THB in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −151M THB in FY2025.
NATION screens 50% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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