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Nick Scali Limited (NCK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$1.2B

PriceA$15.90
Fair ValueA$14.84
Upside-6.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$11.13 – A$18.54

Analysis

Nick Scali Limited (NCK) currently trades at A$15.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$14.84 — implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Nick Scali Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the sourcing and retailing of household furniture and related accessories in Australia, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. The company offers recliner, leather, fabric, and quick ship sofas, as well as occasional armchairs and ottomans; TV and entertainment units; coffee, side, and console and hallway tables; dining tables and chairs, and buffet tables and sideboards; mattresses, bed frames, bedside tables, tallboy, dressers, and daybeds; and rugs, mirrors, and care products. It sells its products through a showroom network of stores, as well as online. Nick Scali Limited was incorporated in 1962 and is based in North Ryde, Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.