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Nitto Denko Corporation (NDEKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $13.3B

ND Nitto Denko Corporation logo Nitto Denko Corporation NDEKY · US
Price$22.44
Fair Value$22.34
Upside-0.5%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.92% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $16.25 – $27.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +16.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $16.25 (bear) to $27.93 (bull), base $22.34. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.71 $9.39 Fair Value $22.34 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.39 – $25.71 · fair‑value band $16.25 – $27.93 · the $22.44 price screens above the $22.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nitto Denko Corporation (NDEKY) currently trades at $22.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.34, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nitto Denko Corporation generated revenue of $1.0T at a net margin of 13.0%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $361B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.25 (bear case) to $27.93 (bull case); at $22.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 0%, NDEKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $14.10 $18.77 $25.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.68 $19.47 $25.86 74
ROIC Compounder $16.93 $20.27 $24.06 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.85 $18.98 $26.50 38
Owner Earnings $15.16 $20.93 $29.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit $13.68 $19.40 $26.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.05 $27.34 $37.95 41
5Y P/E Exit $16.77 $25.02 $33.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.33 $18.50 $25.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.40 $23.93 $33.59 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.59 $22.34 $30.23 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.07 $24.20 $31.65 54
Lynch FV $4.69 $6.71 $8.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.69 $6.71 $8.72 46
EPV $16.24 $18.38 $20.25 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.00 $22.67 $28.33 63
P/S Multiple $11.55 $15.40 $19.25 58
P/B Multiple $17.00 $22.67 $28.33 55
EV/EBIT $22.95 $29.47 $35.98 53
EV/EBITDA $22.66 $29.08 $35.50 54
EV/Revenue $14.19 $18.81 $23.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.43 $7.28 $10.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $14.10 $18.77 $25.26 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.68 $19.47 $25.86 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.13 $12.12 $24.97 61
ROIC Compounder $16.93 $20.27 $24.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.63 $19.47 $25.32 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($22.67) versus Earnings-Based ($6.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.0T
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin 13.0%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow $101B FY2026
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 14.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.23
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.0%
Net cash $361B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nitto Denko Corporation primarily engages in the adhesive tapes business in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia, Oceania, and internationally.

Full company description

Nitto Denko Corporation primarily engages in the adhesive tapes business in Japan, the Americas, Europe, Asia, Oceania, and internationally. It provides double sided tape, surface protective film, sealing materials, masking tape, materials for housing and construction, semiconductor manufacturing process products, tape for electrical and electronic equipment, fluoroplastic sheets and tape NITOFLON, fluoroplastic porous film TEMISH, porous sheet/breathable material, packaging tape, and functional thermal transfer system. The company also offers FPD/touch panel related products, and flexible printed circuit boards. In addition, it provides membrane products; medical products, including transdermal therapeutic systems, athletic tapes, medical adhesive tapes for wearable devices and body sensors, adhesive tapes, and particles for nucleic acid synthesis; and hygiene products, as well as flexible angular displacement sensor products. The company offers its products to automotive and transportation, housing/housing equipment, infrastructure, material, home appliance and electrical, display, electronic device, medical, packaging, and consumer/personal care industries. Nitto Denko Corporation was incorporated in 1918 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nitto Denko Corporation reported revenue of $1.1T in FY2026 versus $853B in FY2022, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $142B in FY2026, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.1T
Latest YoY
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+3.6%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY22 $853B
FY23 $929B
FY24 $915B
FY25 $1.0T
FY26 $1.1T
Net income +9.9%/yr
FY22 $97.1B
FY23 $109B
FY24 $103B
FY25 $137B
FY26 $142B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nitto Denko Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NDEKY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −0% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 14 · sector 19
PAST 49 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 38 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nitto Denko Corporation (NDEKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.34 versus a price of $22.44, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NDEKY?
Our model-based fair value for Nitto Denko Corporation is $22.34 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.44.
What is the quality score of NDEKY?
Nitto Denko Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nitto Denko Corporation (NDEKY)?
Nitto Denko Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0T (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NDEKY?
The net profit margin of Nitto Denko Corporation is about 13.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nitto Denko Corporation pay a dividend?
Nitto Denko Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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