Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (NDGPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $4.2B
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited
NDGPF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.4200 – $1.23 · fair‑value band $0.6387 – $1.04 · the $0.9000 price screens above the $0.8208 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (NDGPF) currently trades at $0.9000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8208, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited generated revenue of $67.0B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at $66.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6387 (bear case) to $1.04 (bull case); at $0.9000, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 131% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -9%, NDGPF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells packaging paper, printing and writing paper, and specialty paper products and pulp in the People's Republic of China. The company offers kraft, test, white top, and coated linerboard, as well as bleached folding boxboard; corrugating medium; uncoated wood free and office paper; coated duplex board; and gypsum board cover paper. It also provides container board, kraft paper, and packaging products; corrugated sheet, cardboard, and carton box; kraft paper bag; color printing; and laminated paper products. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Dongguan, the People's Republic of China. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited is a subsidiary of Best Result Holdings Limited.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of $63.2B in FY2025 versus $61.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $2.2B in FY2025, compounding −25.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.05 | R$12.20 | -28% |
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| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$42.04 | R$137.84 | +228% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 100.20 | kr 49.40 | -51% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.24 | ¥9.88 | -25% |
| Holmen AB HLMMF | $35.72 | $32.71 | -8% |
| Mondi plc MNODF | $9.70 | $7.32 | -25% |
| Oji Holdings OJIPY | $55.39 | $61.84 | +12% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,043 CLP | 1,263 CLP | +21% |
| The Navigator Company NVG | €3.49 | €2.65 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.