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Noble Helium Ltd (NHE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Noble Helium Ltd stock A$0.02, price A$0.03, that is 16.7% below the price, quality 21 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000210940

NH Noble Helium Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Noble Helium Ltd

NHE · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 17% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter 60% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0242 · Overvalued
Quality 21/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.8 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/6)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3950 A$0.0090 Fair Value A$0.0242 Apr 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.3950 · fair‑value band A$0.0232 – A$0.0252 · the A$0.0290 price screens above the A$0.0242 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Noble Helium Limited engages in the exploration of helium projects in the United Republic of Tanzania. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the North Rukwa project with 12 granted prospecting licenses covering a combined area of approximately 1,467 square kilometers located in south-west Tanzania.

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Noble Helium Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Noble Helium Ltd (NHE) currently trades at A$0.0290, while our estimate is A$0.0242, 17% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0232 (bear) to A$0.0252 (bull), the price of A$0.0290 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Noble Helium Ltd reported revenue of A$21.8K in FY2025 versus A$23.9K in FY2020, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.9M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$37.1M (≈ $25.5M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −18,775% · Revenue (TTM) A$10.3K · Revenue growth (YoY) −59.9% · Free cash flow −A$2.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −17%, NHE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0232 Fair Value A$0.0242 Bull A$0.0252
Price A$0.0290 · Downside -16.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 81
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 36
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 24
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+185.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,381.5% (2020) → −21,112.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NHE screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 758 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −16.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −8.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −59.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 289.00 TWD 462.40 TWD +60% vs NHE
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.74 ¥68.03 −5% vs NHE
Linde plc LIN $521.78 $446.62 −14% vs NHE
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $124.42 $77.68 −38% vs NHE
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 97.25 CHF 57.84 −41% vs NHE
Sika AG SIKA CHF 194.00 CHF 98.89 −49% vs NHE
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $355.34 $146.37 −59% vs NHE
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 4,048 CHF 1,554 −62% vs NHE
Ecolab Inc ECL $306.03 $96.56 −68% vs NHE
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $312.25 $75.33 −76% vs NHE

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Noble Helium Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Noble Helium Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NHE

Frequently asked questions

Is Noble Helium Ltd (NHE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0242 versus a price of A$0.0290, about 17% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NHE?
Our estimate for Noble Helium Ltd is A$0.0242 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0290.
What is the quality score of NHE?
Noble Helium Ltd has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0242 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0232, optimistic scenario A$0.0252. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Noble Helium Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0242, about 17% lower versus a price of A$0.0290 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0232, optimistic scenario A$0.0252. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
Noble Helium Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$10.3K (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Noble Helium Ltd it is A$0.0242 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0290.
Is Noble Helium Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, NHE trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0290, fair value A$0.0242, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NHE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0290); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0242). For Noble Helium Ltd the two are A$0.0048 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Noble Helium Ltd worth?
The market values Noble Helium Ltd at about A$37.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0290; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0242 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NHE?
Our models span a range for Noble Helium Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0232, base A$0.0242, optimistic A$0.0252 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0290). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Noble Helium Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −11.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NHE from its 52-week high?
Noble Helium Ltd trades at A$0.0290, about 41% below its 52-week high of A$0.0490 and 38% above the low of A$0.0210 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0242 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Noble Helium Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Noble Helium Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0290, calculated fair value A$0.0242 (−17%), Quality Score 21/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Noble Helium Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0290. Our estimate is A$0.0242, about 17% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Noble Helium Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0252). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0232 to A$0.0252), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Noble Helium Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
The market capitalisation of Noble Helium Ltd is A$37.1M (≈ $25.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
Earnings per share at Noble Helium Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Noble Helium Ltd is −11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Noble Helium Ltd is −11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
The operating margin of Noble Helium Ltd is −18,775% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Noble Helium Ltd (NHE)?
Revenue at Noble Helium Ltd is growing −59.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Noble Helium Ltd (NHE) generate?
The free cash flow of Noble Helium Ltd is −A$2.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Noble Helium Ltd (NHE) hold?
Noble Helium Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$5.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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