Noble Helium Limited (NHE) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$20.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Our model range runs from A$0.0243 (bear) to A$0.0290 (bull), base A$0.0255. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 9/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.3950 · fair‑value band A$0.0243 – A$0.0290 · the A$0.0290 price screens above the A$0.0255 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Noble Helium Limited (NHE) currently trades at A$0.0290, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 9/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$23.3K. It earns a return on equity of -16.3%. Net debt stands at A$5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0243 (bear case) to A$0.0290 (bull case); at A$0.0290, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -12%, NHE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when NHE reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 14 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Noble Helium Limited engages in the exploration of helium projects in the United Republic of Tanzania. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the North Rukwa project with 12 granted prospecting licenses covering a combined area of approximately 1,467 square kilometers located in south-west Tanzania.
Full company description
Noble Helium Limited engages in the exploration of helium projects in the United Republic of Tanzania. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the North Rukwa project with 12 granted prospecting licenses covering a combined area of approximately 1,467 square kilometers located in south-west Tanzania. Noble Helium Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Noble Helium Limited reported revenue of A$21.8K in FY2025 versus A$23.9K in FY2020, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$11.0M in FY2025.
NHE screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
Compare Noble Helium Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Noble Helium Limited (NHE) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of NHE?
What is the quality score of NHE?
What is the revenue of Noble Helium Limited (NHE)?
What is the net profit margin of NHE?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Noble Helium Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.