Nohmi Bosai Ltd (NHMBF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $1.4B
Nohmi Bosai Ltd
NHMBF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $26.04 to $24.55 (−5.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $18.41 (bear) to $30.68 (bull), base $24.55. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (4 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range $23.37 – $23.37 · fair‑value band $18.41 – $30.68 · the $23.37 price screens below the $24.55 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Nohmi Bosai Ltd (NHMBF) currently trades at $23.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.55, implying the stock looks roughly 5.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nohmi Bosai Ltd generated revenue of $140B at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 18.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.41 (bear case) to $30.68 (bull case); at $23.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 5%, NHMBF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($29.73) versus Asset-Based ($9.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nohmi Bosai Ltd. engages in the development, marketing, installation, and maintenance of various fire protection systems in Japan. The company operates in Fire Alarm Systems, Fire Extinguishing Systems, Maintenance Services, and Others segment.
Full company description
Nohmi Bosai Ltd. engages in the development, marketing, installation, and maintenance of various fire protection systems in Japan. The company operates in Fire Alarm Systems, Fire Extinguishing Systems, Maintenance Services, and Others segment. The Fire Alarm Systems segment offers various fire alarm systems and equipment, including automatic fire alarm systems, fire and smoke control systems, and environment monitoring systems, for homes to large-scale facilities. The Fire Extinguishing Systems segment offers sprinklers systems, foam fire extinguishing systems, and nitrogen gas fire suppression systems for large-scale structures, including office buildings, commercial facilities, industrial plants and factories, and road tunnels. The Maintenance Services segment provides various maintenance and inspection services related to fire protection equipment, including around-the-clock support services, as well as repair services. The company is also involved in the installation and management of parking lot driving lane control systems; and offers parking lot maintenance services. Nohmi Bosai Ltd. was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Nohmi Bosai Ltd. is a subsidiary of SECOM Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nohmi Bosai Ltd reported revenue of $134B in FY2025 versus $106B in FY2023, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was $11.1B in FY2025, compounding +25.7%/yr from FY2023.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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