Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Nila Infrastructures Limited ₹4.65, price ₹6.57, upside -29.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹4.65 – ₹16.02 · fair‑value band ₹4.13 – ₹5.99 · the ₹6.57 price screens above the ₹4.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Nila Infrastructures Limited constructs and develops infrastructure and real estate projects in India.
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Nila Infrastructures Limited constructs and develops infrastructure and real estate projects in India. It is involved in the construction of civic urban infrastructure projects, including bus stations, multi-stored parking, medical campus, bus port, commercial and office complex, warehouses, and other projects, as well as EPC and industrial development, dormitory, media utility, and PPP projects. The company also develops residential real estate properties, such as flats and apartments; and constructs and leases commercial properties. In addition, it engages in slum rehabilitation and development projects. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA) currently trades at ₹6.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.65, 29.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹10.05 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the ₹6.57 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹3.19, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹4.13 (bear) to ₹5.99 (bull), the price of ₹6.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Nila Infrastructures Limited reported revenue of ₹3.2B in FY2026 versus ₹817M in FY2022, a compound +41.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹233M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.0B (≈ $31.2M) · P/E ratio 11.1 · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.5900 · Net margin 7.2% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin 10.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −29%, NILAINFRA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹4.13Fair Value ₹4.65Bull ₹5.99
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.3007 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+7.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.1% vs 4.6%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 10%
Compare Nila Infrastructures Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Above median
Fair Value upside−29.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−28.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.60× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.93× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.9× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)53· sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4.65 versus a price of ₹6.57, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NILAINFRA?
Our model-based fair value for Nila Infrastructures Limited is ₹4.65 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹6.57.
What is the quality score of NILAINFRA?
Nila Infrastructures Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹4.65 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹4.13, optimistic scenario ₹5.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nila Infrastructures Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹4.65, about −29% upside versus a price of ₹6.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹4.13, optimistic scenario ₹5.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Nila Infrastructures Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nila Infrastructures Limited it is ₹4.65 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹6.57. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nila Infrastructures Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, NILAINFRA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹6.57, fair value ₹4.65, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NILAINFRA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹6.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹4.65). For Nila Infrastructures Limited the two are ₹1.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nila Infrastructures Limited worth?
The market values Nila Infrastructures Limited at about ₹3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹6.57; our models calculate a fair value of ₹4.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NILAINFRA?
Our models span a range for Nila Infrastructures Limited: cautious scenario ₹4.13, base ₹4.65, optimistic ₹5.99 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹6.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NILAINFRA?
Nila Infrastructures Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹4.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 9.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nila Infrastructures Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NILAINFRA from its 52-week high?
Nila Infrastructures Limited trades at ₹6.57, about 40% below its 52-week high of ₹10.89 and 10% above the low of ₹5.95 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹4.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nila Infrastructures Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nila Infrastructures Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹6.57, calculated fair value ₹4.65 (−29%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NILAINFRA calculated?
We run Nila Infrastructures Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹4.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nila Infrastructures Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹6.57. Our model-based fair value is ₹4.65, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nila Infrastructures Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA) come from?
Earnings per share at Nila Infrastructures Limited grew +0.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin −5.9 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nila Infrastructures Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
The market capitalisation of Nila Infrastructures Limited is ₹3.0B (≈ $31.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nila Infrastructures Limited is 0.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Earnings per share at Nila Infrastructures Limited are ₹0.5900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
The net margin of Nila Infrastructures Limited is 7.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nila Infrastructures Limited is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nila Infrastructures Limited is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
The operating margin of Nila Infrastructures Limited is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Revenue at Nila Infrastructures Limited is growing −28.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +41.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA)?
Earnings per share at Nila Infrastructures Limited are growing +7.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA) generate?
The free cash flow of Nila Infrastructures Limited is −₹173M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nila Infrastructures Limited (NILAINFRA) carry?
The net debt of Nila Infrastructures Limited is ₹234M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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