Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB stock SEK 7.99, price SEK 5.05, upside +58.2%, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 1.90 – kr 14.60 · fair‑value band kr 5.59 – kr 10.38 · the kr 5.05 price screens below the kr 7.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
Follow Nilsson Special Vehicles publ in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Nilsson Special Vehicles publ is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Nilsson Special Vehicles AB (publ) produces and sells ambulances, limousines, hearses, and other vehicles. The company offers used cars; and ceremonial and transport vehicles for hire. It operates in Europe and Scandinavia.
Show moreShow less
Nilsson Special Vehicles AB (publ) was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Laholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS) currently trades at kr 5.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 7.99, implying the stock looks roughly 37% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 14.21 per share, and 15 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 5.05 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at kr 2.44, and 7 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 5.59 (bear) to kr 10.38 (bull), the price of kr 5.05 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB reported revenue of 172M SEK in FY2025 versus 186M SEK in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 23.7M SEK (≈ $2.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) kr 1.30 · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 95.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 58%, NILS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 5.59Fair Value kr 7.99Bullkr 10.38
Price kr 5.05 · Upside +58.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 1.11 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.1% a year for the price.
Compare Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+58.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)95.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NILS
Frequently asked questions
Is Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 7.99 versus a price of kr 5.05, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NILS?
Our model-based fair value for Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is kr 7.99 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 5.05.
What is the quality score of NILS?
Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 7.99 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 5.59, optimistic scenario kr 10.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 7.99, about +58% upside versus a price of kr 5.05 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 5.59, optimistic scenario kr 10.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 159M SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB would have to grow free cash flow by -18.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.2 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NILS use?
Our models discount Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB that is -18.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB grew -0.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -18.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (-18.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.65 %: that much free cash flow Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB it is kr 7.99 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of kr 5.05. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, NILS trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 5.05, fair value kr 7.99, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NILS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 5.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 7.99). For Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB the two are kr 2.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB worth?
The market values Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB at about 23.7M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is kr 5.05; our models calculate a fair value of kr 7.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NILS?
Our models span a range for Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB: cautious scenario kr 5.59, base kr 7.99, optimistic kr 10.38 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price kr 5.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NILS?
Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.9 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 7.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 95.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NILS from its 52-week high?
Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB trades at kr 5.05, about 11% below its 52-week high of kr 5.65 and 120% above the low of kr 2.30 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 7.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price kr 5.05, calculated fair value kr 7.99 (+58%), Quality Score 64/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NILS calculated?
We run Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 7.99 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB currently trades 37% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 5.05. Our model-based fair value is kr 7.99, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 5.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 5.59 to kr 10.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The market capitalisation of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is 23.7M SEK (≈ $2.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Earnings per share at Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB are kr 1.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The net margin of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is 3.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is 95.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
The operating margin of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Revenue at Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS)?
Earnings per share at Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB are growing −63.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB (NILS) carry?
The net debt of Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB is 2.7M SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB in the live analysis
One click puts Nilsson Special Vehicles publ AB on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 7, 2026