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Nivika Fastigheter AB (NIVI-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SE · Market cap 3.4B SEK (≈ $354M) · ISIN SE0017083272

What is Nivika Fastigheter AB really worth?

NF Nivika Fastigheter AB NIVI-B · ST
Pricekr 37.55
Fair Valuekr 45.03
Upside+19.9%
Quality50/100

A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value of kr 45.03.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 47.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +24.9 %/yr)
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100

For context

·1.92% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 33.77 – kr 56.28

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 94.10 kr 24.60 Fair Value kr 45.03 Dec 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range kr 24.60 – kr 94.10 · fair‑value band kr 33.77 – kr 56.28 · the kr 37.55 price screens below the kr 45.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nivika Fastigheter AB (NIVI-B) currently trades at kr 37.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 45.03, implying the stock looks roughly 16.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 53.54 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the kr 37.55 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at kr 30.78, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nivika Fastigheter AB generated revenue of 817M SEK at a net margin of 39.5%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at 6.7B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 33.77 (bear case) to kr 56.28 (bull case); at kr 37.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 20%, NIVI-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 3.49 per share, which is 7.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence kr 44.54 kr 44.22 kr 40.04 75
FCF DCF kr 8.84 kr 53.54 kr 186.67 68
5Y Revenue Exit kr 22.83 kr 99.16 68
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 8.84 kr 53.54 kr 186.67 68
5Y Revenue Exit kr 22.83 kr 99.16 68
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 4.34 kr 65.33 kr 179.20 63
10Y Revenue Exit kr 45.02 kr 96.79 63
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 5.41 kr 83.88 kr 230.34 57
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 33.77 kr 45.03 kr 56.29 56
P/B Multiple kr 33.77 kr 45.03 kr 56.29 53
EV/EBIT kr 21.72 kr 51.72 kr 81.72 60
EV/EBITDA kr 3.39 kr 27.28 kr 51.17 57
EV/Revenue kr 6.60 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 30.00 kr 40.21 kr 60.01 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 4.53 kr 65.30 kr 181.30 66
Rev-Margin DCF kr 30.78 kr 100.63 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence kr 44.54 kr 44.22 kr 40.04 75

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 53.54) versus Growth DCF (kr 30.78). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.9 as of Jul 17, 2026
P/S ratio 2.86 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 4.21 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.9
Dividend yield 1.9% payout 17.1%
Net margin 32.2% FY2025
Return on equity 7.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 68.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 847M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.5% 3y avg +14.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +268%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 477M SEK FY2025
Net debt 6.7B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 13.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 14
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nivika Fastigheter AB (publ), a property company, owns, manages, and develops residential and commercial premises and rentals in Sweden. Its property portfolio consists of apartment building, student housing, industrial, warehouse, office, school/preschool, and community service properties, as well as plots.

Full company description

Nivika Fastigheter AB (publ), a property company, owns, manages, and develops residential and commercial premises and rentals in Sweden. Its property portfolio consists of apartment building, student housing, industrial, warehouse, office, school/preschool, and community service properties, as well as plots. Nivika Fastigheter AB (publ) was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Värnamo, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nivika Fastigheter AB reported revenue of 789M SEK in FY2025 versus 328M SEK in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was 254M SEK in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
789M SEK
Latest YoY
+16.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−19.0% (−20.9 + 1.9)
Revenue +24.6%/yr
FY21 328M SEK
FY22 528M SEK
FY23 612M SEK
FY24 676M SEK
FY25 789M SEK
Net income −8.5%/yr
FY21 363M SEK
FY22 627M SEK
FY23 −317M SEK
FY24 132M SEK
FY25 254M SEK

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nivika Fastigheter AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIVI-B

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 523 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 47% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.17× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE60 · sector 30
FUTURE78 · sector 11
PAST28 · sector 17
HEALTH41 · sector 84
DIVIDEND38 · sector 63

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $148.74 $69.47 −53%
Vonovia SE VNA €19.85 €36.67 +85%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €27.47 €25.46 −7%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.66 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 4,040 CLP 4,571 CLP +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nivika Fastigheter AB (NIVI-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 45.03 versus a price of kr 37.55, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NIVI-B?
Our model-based fair value for Nivika Fastigheter AB is kr 45.03 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 37.55.
What is the quality score of NIVI-B?
Nivika Fastigheter AB has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nivika Fastigheter AB (NIVI-B)?
Nivika Fastigheter AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 817M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIVI-B?
The net profit margin of Nivika Fastigheter AB is about 39.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nivika Fastigheter AB pay a dividend?
Nivika Fastigheter AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).
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