There (NKE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €237B · ISIN US6541061031
What is There really worth?
A solid business, but trading 438% above our fair value of €6.12.
As of Aug 22, 2026, the fair value of There is €6.12 per share against a price of €32.93, so the fair value sits 81% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 22, 2026, revised from €8.05 to €6.12 (−24.0%) since Aug 13, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (€4.06 to €7.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €32.84 – €144.31 · fair‑value band €4.06 – €7.96 · the €32.93 price screens above the €6.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
There (NKE) currently trades at €32.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.12, implying the stock looks roughly 438.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €7.82 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €32.93 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.23, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Net debt stands at €502M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €4.06 (bear case) to €7.96 (bull case); at €32.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at −81%, NKE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€7.82) versus Asset-Based (€1.23). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
There is no Profile data available for NKE.HA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
There reported revenue of $46.3B in FY2025 versus $44.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $3.2B in FY2025, compounding −13.4%/yr from FY2021.
NKE screens 438% overvalued. Compare with Deckers Outdoor Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Starbucks (SBUX) & Nike (NKE): Why America’s Biggest Brands Keep Losing in China
- Nike (NKE) Stock Looks Undervalued On Earnings But Fairly Valued On Cash Flow
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 88/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $87.76 | $125.16 | +43% |
| On Holding ONON | $31.03 | $17.79 | −43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.61 | ¥13.03 | +3% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $33.95 | $44.93 | +32% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $122.23 | $203.65 | +67% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥34.24 | ¥51.36 | +50% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €25.63 | €10.57 | −59% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $47.70 | $11.69 | −75% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.65 | HK$31.67 | +132% |
| Samsonite Group 1910 | HK$13.20 | HK$36.62 | +177% |
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