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Neometals Ltd (NMT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Neometals Ltd A$0.02, price A$0.03, upside -17.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · AU · ISIN AU000000NMT1

NL Thin data Oct 14, 2026

Neometals Ltd

NMT · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

Our calculation puts a fair price 17% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 42/100
Fair value A$0.0224 · Overvalued (−17.0%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −26.7 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 0/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.89 A$0.0170 Fair Value A$0.0224 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0170 – A$1.89 · fair‑value band A$0.0224 – A$0.0251 · the A$0.0270 price screens above the A$0.0224 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 14, 2026.

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Company profile

Neometals Ltd engages in the development and commercialisation of sustainable processing solutions that recycle and recover critical materials from waste streams in Australia. The company operates through Lithium; Titanium/Vanadium; Gold; and Other segments. The Lithium segment comprises RAM, Primobius, ACN630, and Utah projects and businesses.

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Neometals Ltd engages in the development and commercialisation of sustainable processing solutions that recycle and recover critical materials from waste streams in Australia. The company operates through Lithium; Titanium/Vanadium; Gold; and Other segments. The Lithium segment comprises RAM, Primobius, ACN630, and Utah projects and businesses. The titanium/vanadium segment includes Vanadium-Titanium Mineral Resource (VTM) and Vanadium Recovery project (VRP). The gold segment engages in the gold exploration and development activities, including the Barrambie Gold and Copper project. Neometals Ltd was incorporated in 2001 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Neometals Ltd (NMT) currently trades at A$0.0270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0224, 17.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0224 (bear) to A$0.0251 (bull), the price of A$0.0270 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Neometals Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$7.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$23.6M (≈ $16.6M) · P/S ratio 12.7 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −82.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −35.0% · Operating margin −703% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +16.6%.

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −17%, NMT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0224 Fair Value A$0.0224 Bull A$0.0251
Price A$0.0270 · Upside -17.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 13
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 5
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.7%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−96.0% (2014) → −693.7% (2019)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NMT screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 154 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −17.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −35.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 16.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 8.81× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.16× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)83 · sector 42
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 48

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥13.18 ¥20.95 +59% vs NMT
Waste Management, Inc WM $207.88 $228.67 +10% vs NMT
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.16 $170.68 +10% vs NMT
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14% vs NMT
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.33 $34.27 −19% vs NMT
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.50 €7.30 −30% vs NMT
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.09 €20.32 −35% vs NMT
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.75 $128.63 −41% vs NMT
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $316.93 $155.54 −51% vs NMT
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $83.78 $14.82 −82% vs NMT

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Neometals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0224 −17%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Neometals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NMT

Frequently asked questions

Is Neometals Ltd (NMT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0224 versus a price of A$0.0270, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NMT?
Our model-based fair value for Neometals Ltd is A$0.0224 (as of Oct 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0270.
What is the quality score of NMT?
Neometals Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0224 (as of Oct 14, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0224, optimistic scenario A$0.0251. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Neometals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0224, about −17% upside versus a price of A$0.0270 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0224, optimistic scenario A$0.0251. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
Neometals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.9M (latest available figure, as of Oct 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Neometals Ltd it is A$0.0224 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026), against a price of A$0.0270. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Neometals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 14, 2026, NMT trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0270, fair value A$0.0224, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NMT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0270); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0224). For Neometals Ltd the two are A$0.0046 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Neometals Ltd worth?
The market values Neometals Ltd at about A$23.6M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 14, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0270; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0224 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NMT?
Our models span a range for Neometals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0224, base A$0.0224, optimistic A$0.0251 per share (as of Oct 14, 2026, price A$0.0270). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NMT?
The PEG ratio of Neometals Ltd is 2.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 14, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Neometals Ltd (as of Oct 14, 2026): return on equity −82.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NMT from its 52-week high?
Neometals Ltd trades at A$0.0270, about 65% below its 52-week high of A$0.0770 and 59% above the low of A$0.0170 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0224 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Neometals Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Neometals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 14, 2026: price A$0.0270, calculated fair value A$0.0224 (−17%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NMT calculated?
We run Neometals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0224, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Neometals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was A$0.0270. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0224, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Neometals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0251). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0224 to A$0.0251), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Neometals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
The market capitalisation of Neometals Ltd is A$23.6M (≈ $16.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Neometals Ltd is 12.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
Earnings per share at Neometals Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Neometals Ltd is −82.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Neometals Ltd is −35.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
The operating margin of Neometals Ltd is −703% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Neometals Ltd (NMT)?
Revenue at Neometals Ltd is growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Neometals Ltd (NMT) generate?
The free cash flow of Neometals Ltd is −A$7.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Neometals Ltd (NMT) carry?
The net debt of Neometals Ltd is A$888K (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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