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Nexity SA (NNXXY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Nexity SA $2.95, price $1.08, upside +173.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · US · Home France · ISIN US65343A1060

NS Nexity SA logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Nexity SA

NNXXY · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $2.95 · Strongly undervalued (+173.2%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.80 $1.08 Fair Value $2.95 Mar 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.08 – $7.80 · fair‑value band $2.16 – $3.61 · the $1.08 price screens below the $2.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Nexity SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Europe and internationally. It operates through Planning and Development, Services, and Other Activities divisions. The company develops new homes and building plots, as well as office buildings, business parks, logistics platforms, shops, and hotels.

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Nexity SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Europe and internationally. It operates through Planning and Development, Services, and Other Activities divisions. The company develops new homes and building plots, as well as office buildings, business parks, logistics platforms, shops, and hotels. It also provides property management and serviced properties for student residences and coworking spaces; and markets real estate products. In addition, the company is involved in the provision investment activities. It serves individuals, businesses, and local authorities. Nexity SA was founded in 1995 and is based in Saint-Ouen, France.

Stock analysis

Nexity SA (NNXXY) currently trades at $1.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.95, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $9.68 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the $1.08 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.33, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.16 (bear) to $3.61 (bull), the price of $1.08 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Nexity SA reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2025 versus €4.5B in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€181M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $543M · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7900 · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) €2.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 173%, NNXXY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.16 Fair Value $2.95 Bull $3.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $8.17 $10.75 $15.09 81
Growth DCF $8.44 $10.89 $14.69 80
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.72 $5.93 $7.55 77
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.17 $10.75 $15.09 81
5Y Revenue Exit $6.75 $9.46 $13.37 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.72 $5.93 $7.55 77
10Y Revenue Exit $7.18 $9.11 $11.13 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.20 $7.13 $8.01 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.41 $3.33 $4.25 67
EV/Revenue $6.18 $8.98 $11.77 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.25 $4.36 $6.50 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.44 $10.89 $14.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.75 $9.68 $13.32 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.0% (2020) → −5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 129 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +173.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 3.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Henderson Land Development Company 0012 HK$26.22 HK$19.85 −24%
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 119.10 CHF 44.83 −62%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 63.00 THB 71.37 THB +13%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,978 ₹405.25 −80%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,478 ₹297.85 −80%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.15 SAR 15.41 SAR −10%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.69 ¥0.7900 −71%
Allreal Holding ALLN CHF 193.00 CHF 84.23 −56%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,630 CLP 3,708 CLP +2%
The St. Joe Company JOE $66.01 $34.53 −48%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nexity SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NNXXY

Frequently asked questions

Is Nexity SA (NNXXY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.95 versus a price of $1.08, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NNXXY?
Our model-based fair value for Nexity SA is $2.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.08.
What is the quality score of NNXXY?
Nexity SA has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.16, optimistic scenario $3.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nexity SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.95, about +173% upside versus a price of $1.08 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.16, optimistic scenario $3.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Nexity SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nexity SA it is $2.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.08. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nexity SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NNXXY trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.08, fair value $2.95, a gap of about +173% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NNXXY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.95). For Nexity SA the two are $1.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nexity SA worth?
The market values Nexity SA at about $543M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.08; our models calculate a fair value of $2.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NNXXY?
Our models span a range for Nexity SA: cautious scenario $2.16, base $2.95, optimistic $3.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nexity SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.5%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NNXXY from its 52-week high?
Nexity SA trades at $1.08, about 48% below its 52-week high of $2.09 and at the low of $1.08 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nexity SA?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nexity SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.08, calculated fair value $2.95 (+173%), Quality Score 47/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NNXXY calculated?
We run Nexity SA through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Nexity SA currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $1.08. Our model-based fair value is $2.95, about +173% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nexity SA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Nexity SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
The market capitalisation of Nexity SA is $543M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nexity SA is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Earnings per share at Nexity SA are $−0.7900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
The net margin of Nexity SA is −6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nexity SA is −10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nexity SA is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
The operating margin of Nexity SA is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Revenue at Nexity SA is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nexity SA (NNXXY)?
Earnings per share at Nexity SA are growing +375% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nexity SA (NNXXY) generate?
The free cash flow of Nexity SA is €177M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nexity SA (NNXXY) carry?
The net debt of Nexity SA is €1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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