NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NP3 Fastigheter AB stock SEK 188, price SEK 234, that is 19.5% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 134.57 – kr 340.64 · fair‑value band kr 52.70 – kr 440.71 · the kr 233.50 price screens above the kr 188.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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NP3 Fastigheter AB (publ), a real estate company, engages in commercial investment property business in Sweden. The company is involved in property management and letting; acquiring and divesting properties; and development of property portfolio.
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Its real estate portfolio consists of commercial, industrial, retail, offices, and logistics, as well as hotels, sports facilities, land, and properties for public use, such as schools. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sundsvall, Sweden.
Stock analysis
NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) currently trades at kr 233.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 188.07, 19% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 239.82 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the kr 233.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 65.22, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 52.70 (bear) to kr 440.71 (bull), the price of kr 233.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
NP3 Fastigheter AB reported revenue of 2.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 1.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B SEK in FY2025, compounding −10.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 15.7B SEK (≈ $1.6B) Small · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 6.39 · EPS (TTM) kr 25.55 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 69.4% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 73 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −19%, NP3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 52.70Fair Value kr 188.07Bullkr 440.71
Price kr 233.50 · Downside -19.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 16.84 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.7% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7.6% vs 17.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2018 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.88% → 72%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.0% a year for the price and +4.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 478 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−19.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)69.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)78.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.22× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.47× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)6.39× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.3× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NP3 Fastigheter AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NP3
Frequently asked questions
Is NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 188.07 versus a price of kr 233.50, about 19% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NP3?
Our model-based fair value for NP3 Fastigheter AB is kr 188.07 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 233.50.
What is the quality score of NP3?
NP3 Fastigheter AB has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 188.07 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 52.70, optimistic scenario kr 440.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NP3 Fastigheter AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 188.07, about 19% lower versus a price of kr 233.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 52.70, optimistic scenario kr 440.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
NP3 Fastigheter AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does NP3 Fastigheter AB pay a dividend?
NP3 Fastigheter AB currently shows a dividend yield of 2.61% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) and when is the ex-dividend date?
NP3 Fastigheter AB pays a dividend of kr 6.10 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.6%. The next ex-dividend date is Jan 28, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2015. The payout ratio is 25.9% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 23.9%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.73 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NP3 Fastigheter AB would have to grow free cash flow by +24.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.8 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NP3 use?
Our models discount NP3 Fastigheter AB at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.71, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NP3 Fastigheter AB that is +24.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NP3 Fastigheter AB grew +15.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +24.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NP3 Fastigheter AB (+24.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.55 %: that much free cash flow NP3 Fastigheter AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NP3 Fastigheter AB it is kr 188.07 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of kr 233.50. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is NP3 Fastigheter AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, NP3 trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 233.50, fair value kr 188.07, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NP3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 233.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 188.07). For NP3 Fastigheter AB the two are kr 45.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NP3 Fastigheter AB worth?
The market values NP3 Fastigheter AB at about 15.7B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is kr 233.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 188.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NP3?
Our models span a range for NP3 Fastigheter AB: cautious scenario kr 52.70, base kr 188.07, optimistic kr 440.71 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price kr 233.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NP3?
NP3 Fastigheter AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 188.07 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 12.2 (reported for FY2025: 11.3). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 8.9. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 6.4, EV/EBITDA 16.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
Balance-sheet figures for NP3 Fastigheter AB (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 15.6%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NP3 from its 52-week high?
NP3 Fastigheter AB trades at kr 233.50, about 19% below its 52-week high of kr 289.15 and 8% above the low of kr 215.94 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 188.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NP3 Fastigheter AB?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NP3 Fastigheter AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price kr 233.50, calculated fair value kr 188.07 (−19%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NP3 calculated?
We run NP3 Fastigheter AB through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 188.07 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. NP3 Fastigheter AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was kr 233.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 188.07, about 19% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NP3 Fastigheter AB right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (kr 52.70 to kr 440.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) come from?
Earnings per share at NP3 Fastigheter AB grew +13.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.7 %, EBIT margin −0.3 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of NP3 Fastigheter AB
How large is the market capitalisation of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The market capitalisation of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 15.7B SEK (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 6.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
Earnings per share at NP3 Fastigheter AB are kr 25.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The dividend yield of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 2.6% (payout 25.9%, on adjusted earnings, reported 23.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The net margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 69.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
The operating margin of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 78.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
Revenue at NP3 Fastigheter AB is growing +11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3)?
Earnings per share at NP3 Fastigheter AB are growing +53.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does NP3 Fastigheter AB (NP3) carry?
The net debt of NP3 Fastigheter AB is 13.9B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 12, 2026