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National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of National Presto Industries Inc $48.61, price $146, upside -66.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US6372151042

NP National Presto Industries Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

National Presto Industries Inc

NPK · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $48.61 · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 52/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.68% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$156.80 $58.74 Fair Value $48.61 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $58.74 – $156.80 · fair‑value band $45.12 – $54.06 · the $146.07 price screens above the $48.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America.

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National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America. The company's Housewares/Small Appliance segment designs, markets, and distributes housewares and small electrical appliances, including pressure cookers and canners; kitchen electrics, and comfort appliances; heat control line of skillets, griddles, woks, and multipurpose cookers; slow cookers; deep fryers; air fryers; waffle makers; pizza ovens; slicer/shredders; electric heaters; corn poppers; dehydrators; vacuum sealers; microwave bacon cookers; coffee makers and coffee maker accessories; electric knife sharpeners; and timers under the Presto Control Master brand. This segment sells its products directly to retailers, as well as through independent distributors. Its Defense segment manufactures and sells 40mm ammunition, precision mechanical and electro-mechanical assemblies, medium-caliber cartridge cases, and metal parts; and performs Load, Assemble and Pack (LAP) operations on ordnance-related products primarily for the United States Government and prime contractors; and manufactures detonators, booster pellets, release cartridges, lead azide, other military energetic devices and materials, and assemblies. This segment primarily serves the United States Department of Defense (DOD) and DOD prime contractors; and niche market ordnance products, such as training ammunition, fuzes, firing devices, and initiators. The Safety segment provides safety technology products, including smoke alarms, carbon monoxide alarms, combo smoke/carbon monoxide alarms with an array of voice messages in English and Spanish, digital displays, and a PFAS-free foam commercial fire extinguisher. National Presto Industries, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is based in Eau Claire, Wisconsin.

Stock analysis

National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) currently trades at $146.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.61, implying the stock looks roughly 200.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $79.27 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $146.07 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $10.93, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $45.12 (bear) to $54.06 (bull), the price of $146.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

National Presto Industries Inc reported revenue of $504M in FY2025 versus $356M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $33.1M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.0B · P/E ratio 32.5 · P/S ratio 2.13 · EPS (TTM) $4.50 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −67%, NPK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $45.12 Fair Value $48.61 Bull $54.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.56 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $22.36 $30.17 $39.90 77
Residual Income $43.50 $45.74 $48.92 76
EPV $38.31 $43.47 $47.77 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $22.36 $30.17 $39.90 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.39 $75.93 $98.10 65
PEG = 1.0 $13.44 $19.21 $24.97 57
EPV $38.31 $43.47 $47.77 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.74 $12.45 $17.24 68
DDM Multi-Stage $7.74 $10.93 $13.96 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $72.71 $96.95 $121.19 63
P/S Multiple $58.86 $78.49 $98.11 58
P/B Multiple $58.86 $78.49 $98.11 55
EV/EBIT $76.86 $102.33 $127.79 66
EV/EBITDA $65.87 $87.67 $109.48 67
EV/Revenue $54.98 $78.36 $101.73 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.57 $36.94 $55.14 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $43.50 $45.74 $48.92 76
ROIC Compounder $38.31 $43.47 $47.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $55.49 $79.27 $103.06 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

NPK screens 200% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −68% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.73× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.08× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 23.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)73 · sector 46
PAST (return on equity)34 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

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General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
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TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "National Presto Industries Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPK

Frequently asked questions

Is National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $48.61 versus a price of $146.07, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NPK?
Our model-based fair value for National Presto Industries Inc is $48.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $146.07.
What is the quality score of NPK?
National Presto Industries Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $48.61 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $45.12, optimistic scenario $54.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the National Presto Industries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $48.61, about −67% upside versus a price of $146.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $45.12, optimistic scenario $54.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
National Presto Industries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $519M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does National Presto Industries Inc pay a dividend?
National Presto Industries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For National Presto Industries Inc it is $48.61 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $146.07. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is National Presto Industries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NPK trades above its calculated fair value: price $146.07, fair value $48.61, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NPK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($146.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($48.61). For National Presto Industries Inc the two are $97.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is National Presto Industries Inc worth?
The market values National Presto Industries Inc at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $146.07; our models calculate a fair value of $48.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NPK?
Our models span a range for National Presto Industries Inc: cautious scenario $45.12, base $48.61, optimistic $54.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $146.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NPK?
National Presto Industries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $48.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 23.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
Balance-sheet figures for National Presto Industries Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NPK from its 52-week high?
National Presto Industries Inc trades at $146.07, about 7% below its 52-week high of $156.80 and 61% above the low of $90.92 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $48.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to National Presto Industries Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is National Presto Industries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $146.07, calculated fair value $48.61 (−67%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NPK calculated?
We run National Presto Industries Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $48.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. National Presto Industries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $146.07. Our model-based fair value is $48.61, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with National Presto Industries Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($54.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) come from?
Earnings per share at National Presto Industries Inc grew −0.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.2 %, EBIT margin −3.5 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of National Presto Industries Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The market capitalisation of National Presto Industries Inc is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of National Presto Industries Inc is 2.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
Earnings per share at National Presto Industries Inc are $4.50 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The dividend yield of National Presto Industries Inc is 0.7% (payout 22.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The net margin of National Presto Industries Inc is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of National Presto Industries Inc is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of National Presto Industries Inc is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
The operating margin of National Presto Industries Inc is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
Revenue at National Presto Industries Inc is growing +14.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at National Presto Industries Inc (NPK)?
Earnings per share at National Presto Industries Inc are growing −13.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) generate?
The free cash flow of National Presto Industries Inc is −$36.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does National Presto Industries Inc (NPK) carry?
The net debt of National Presto Industries Inc is $29.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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