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National Presto Industries, Inc (NPK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $945M

NP National Presto Industries, Inc logo National Presto Industries, Inc NPK · US
Price$137.99
Fair Value$79.27
Upside-42.6%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $55.49 – $103.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +11.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($103.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($55.49 to $103.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$146.54 $58.74 Fair Value $79.27 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $58.74 – $146.54 · fair‑value band $55.49 – $103.06 · the $137.99 price screens above the $79.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

National Presto Industries, Inc (NPK) currently trades at $137.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $79.27, implying the stock looks roughly 42.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, National Presto Industries, Inc generated revenue of $519M at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at $29.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $55.49 (bear case) to $103.06 (bull case); at $137.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -43%, NPK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $43.50 $45.74 $48.92 76
ROIC Compounder $38.31 $43.47 $47.77 72
Gordon GGM $7.74 $12.45 $17.24 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $14.34 $19.30 $25.47 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.39 $75.93 $98.10 54
PEG = 1.0 $13.44 $19.21 $24.97 46
EPV $38.31 $43.47 $47.77 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.74 $12.45 $17.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.74 $10.93 $13.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $72.71 $96.95 $121.19 63
P/S Multiple $58.86 $78.49 $98.11 58
P/B Multiple $58.86 $78.49 $98.11 55
EV/EBIT $76.86 $102.33 $127.79 53
EV/EBITDA $65.87 $87.67 $109.48 54
EV/Revenue $54.98 $78.36 $101.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.57 $36.94 $55.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $43.50 $45.74 $48.92 76
ROIC Compounder $38.31 $43.47 $47.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $55.49 $79.27 $103.06 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($79.27) versus Dividend Discount ($10.93). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $519M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.5%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow −$36.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 29.3
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) $4.50
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.2%
Net debt $29.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America. The company's Housewares/Small Appliance segment designs, markets, and distributes housewares and small electrical appliances, including pressure cookers and canners; kitchen electrics, and comfort appliances; heat control line of …

Full company description

National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America. The company's Housewares/Small Appliance segment designs, markets, and distributes housewares and small electrical appliances, including pressure cookers and canners; kitchen electrics, and comfort appliances; heat control line of skillets, griddles, woks, and multipurpose cookers; slow cookers; deep fryers; air fryers; waffle makers; pizza ovens; slicer/shredders; electric heaters; corn poppers; dehydrators; vacuum sealers; microwave bacon cookers; coffee makers and coffee maker accessories; electric knife sharpeners; and timers under the Presto Control Master brand. This segment sells its products directly to retailers, as well as through independent distributors. Its Defense segment manufactures and sells 40mm ammunition, precision mechanical and electro-mechanical assemblies, medium-caliber cartridge cases, and metal parts; and performs Load, Assemble and Pack (LAP) operations on ordnance-related products primarily for the United States Government and prime contractors; and manufactures detonators, booster pellets, release cartridges, lead azide, other military energetic devices and materials, and assemblies. This segment primarily serves the United States Department of Defense (DOD) and DOD prime contractors; and niche market ordnance products, such as training ammunition, fuzes, firing devices, and initiators. The Safety segment provides safety technology products, including smoke alarms, carbon monoxide alarms, combo smoke/carbon monoxide alarms with an array of voice messages in English and Spanish, digital displays, and a PFAS-free foam commercial fire extinguisher. National Presto Industries, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is based in Eau Claire, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

National Presto Industries, Inc reported revenue of $504M in FY2025 versus $356M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $33.1M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$504M
Latest YoY
+29.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+4.2%
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 $356M
FY22 $322M
FY23 $341M
FY24 $388M
FY25 $504M
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY21 $25.7M
FY22 $20.7M
FY23 $34.6M
FY24 $41.5M
FY25 $33.1M

NPK screens 43% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "National Presto Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPK

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.39× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.82× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 73 · sector 46
PAST 34 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is National Presto Industries, Inc (NPK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $79.27 versus a price of $137.99, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NPK?
Our model-based fair value for National Presto Industries, Inc is $79.27 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $137.99.
What is the quality score of NPK?
National Presto Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of National Presto Industries, Inc (NPK)?
National Presto Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $519M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPK?
The net profit margin of National Presto Industries, Inc is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does National Presto Industries, Inc pay a dividend?
National Presto Industries, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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