Nippon Steel Corporation (NPSCY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $18.6B
Nippon Steel Corporation
NPSCY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $4.25 to $0.3700 (−91.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $3.32 – $7.58 · fair‑value band $0.2800 – $0.4600 · the $3.83 price screens above the $0.3700 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
✦ Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →Analysis
Nippon Steel Corporation (NPSCY) currently trades at $3.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3700, implying the stock looks roughly 90.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Steel Corporation generated revenue of $10.1T at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 31.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at $4.7T. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2800 (bear case) to $0.4600 (bull case); at $3.83, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -90%, NPSCY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nippon Steel Corporation engages in the steelmaking and steel fabrication, engineering, chemicals and materials, and system solutions businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Steelmaking and Steel Fabrication segment engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products. Its Engineering and Construction segment engages in the design, manufacture, sale, construction, and supervision of various plants and facilities, energy pipelines, water facilities, industrial machinery and equipment, buildings, building materials and equipment, steel structures, etc.; operation, management, and maintenance of plants and facilities, etc.; waste treatment and recycling business; and electricity, gas, heat, and other supply businesses. The company's Chemicals and Materials segment engages in the manufacture and sale of coal-based chemical products, petrochemicals, electronic materials, and materials and components for semiconductors and electronic parts; carbon fiber and composite …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nippon Steel Corporation reported revenue of $10.7T in FY2026 versus $6.8T in FY2022, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was $18.2B in FY2026, compounding −58.9%/yr from FY2022.
Is NPSCY fairly valued? → Check now
Recent news
- OpenAI to Offer Trump Administration a 5% Equity Stake and Other AI Firms Could Also Follow: Report
- NSSOL Public Shareholders Support Proposals Seeking to Prohibit and Require Greater Transparency Regarding the Company’s Deposits with Nippo
- Japan Is an Investing Giant for Mom and Pop. It Just Needs to Convince Them.
- Top global stories this week
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$103.95 | R$9.67 | -91% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$172.80 | R$119.18 | -31% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,270 | ₹1,007 | -21% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹206.77 | ₹131.96 | -36% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.75 | ¥8.07 | +40% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 390,000 KRW | 106,072 KRW | -73% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 3,280 ARS | -76% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,132 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,786 | ₹1,099 | -38% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Nippon Steel Corporation (NPSCY) undervalued?
What is the fair value of NPSCY?
What is the quality score of NPSCY?
What is the revenue of Nippon Steel Corporation (NPSCY)?
What is the net profit margin of NPSCY?
Does Nippon Steel Corporation pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Unlock the full Nippon Steel Corporation analysis, and try Pro free
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.