Nordrest Holding (NREST) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 3.2B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 221.52 to kr 903.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from kr 221.52 (bear) to kr 903.35 (bull), base kr 293.25. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range kr 99.61 – kr 334.84 · fair‑value band kr 221.52 – kr 903.35 · the kr 253.00 price screens below the kr 293.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Nordrest Holding (NREST) currently trades at kr 253.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 293.25, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nordrest Holding generated revenue of 2.8B SEK at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 30.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 69.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 80.7M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 221.52 (bear case) to kr 903.35 (bull case); at kr 253.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 16%, NREST screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 694.88) versus Asset-Based (kr 13.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nordrest Holding AB (publ) operates as a foodservice company in Sweden and internationally. The company operates restaurants. It also provides catering services.
Full company description
Nordrest Holding AB (publ) operates as a foodservice company in Sweden and internationally. The company operates restaurants. It also provides catering services. In addition, the company develops, produces, packs, and distributes complete meal solutions and food components for defence, emergency preparedness, humanitarian operations, and institutional customers under the OrifO, Surviva foods, and Outmeals names. Further, it provides meal solutions under the Taste by Nordrest, Togo by Nordrest,, PocketbyNordrest, LaGirafe, Dinners, and WayCup brands. The company serves defense, companies, colleges and universities, schools, hospitals and elderly care, and travel groups. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Solna, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nordrest Holding reported revenue of kr 2.5B in FY2025 versus kr 489M in FY2021, a compound +51.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 196M in FY2025, compounding +87.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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