Nurol Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (NUGYO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · TR · Market cap 3.0B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.04 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (0.8900 TRY to 2.04 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.32 TRY – 18.08 TRY · fair‑value band 0.8900 TRY – 2.04 TRY · the 8.88 TRY price screens above the 1.46 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nurol Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (NUGYO) currently trades at 8.88 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.46 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 83.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nurol Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS generated revenue of 613M TRY at a net margin of -64.8%. Revenue declined 68.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.4%. Net debt stands at 149M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.8900 TRY (bear case) to 2.04 TRY (bull case); at 8.88 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -84%, NUGYO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (12.83 TRY) versus Multiples (1.99 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nurol Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is a publicly owned real estate investment trust. It invests in the real estate markets across Turkey. The firm invests primarily in the commercial properties. Nurol Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS was launched in 1997 and is based in Istanbul. Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nurol Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 759M TRY in FY2025 versus 484M TRY in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was −476M TRY in FY2025.
NUGYO screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 174 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $70.00 | $34.80 | -50% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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