Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares (NVNI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $11.1M · ISIN KYG507161027
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.1300 to $0.1200 (−7.7%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 730% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range $0.8100 – $117.30 · the $0.9960 price screens above the $0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares (NVNI) currently trades at $0.9960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $197M at a net margin of -57.4%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $50.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -88%, NVNI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.1400) versus DCF Models ($0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Nvni Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates in business-to-business software as a service (SaaS) market in Brazil and Latin America.
Full company description
Nvni Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates in business-to-business software as a service (SaaS) market in Brazil and Latin America. It provides software subscription and licensing services, in which clients have access to software on multiple devices simultaneously; maintenance services, including technical support and technological evolution; and cloud computing, client, data analytics, and other services. Nvni Group Limited is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of R$197M in FY2025 versus R$89.9M in FY2021, a compound +21.6%/yr. Reported net income was −R$113M in FY2025.
NVNI screens 88% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 729 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Insider activity: 52/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €191.32 | €169.59 | -11% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $78.49 | $43.66 | -44% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $252.05 | $249.28 | -1% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $138.43 | $43.73 | -68% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $334.68 | $112.57 | -66% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $329.11 | $42.27 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $289.15 | $454.04 | +57% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $284.68 | $177.51 | -38% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $348.00 | $363.46 | +4% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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