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Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares (NVNI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $11.1M · ISIN KYG507161027

NG Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares logo Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares NVNI · US
Price$0.9960
Fair Value$0.1200
Upside-88.0%
Quality32/100
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Strengths

Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 730% ABOVE our fair value of $0.1200
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +74.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -57.4% net margin
!Trails peers (3/10)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +74.5 %/yr)
Loss-making · -57.4% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 5 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.1300 to $0.1200 (−7.7%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 730% above our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$117.30 $0.8100 Fair Value $0.1200 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range $0.8100 – $117.30 · the $0.9960 price screens above the $0.1200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares (NVNI) currently trades at $0.9960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1200, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares generated revenue of $197M at a net margin of -57.4%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $50.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -88%, NVNI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.1400 $0.9900 80
EV/Revenue $0.0600 43
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1200 $1.31 39
All 5 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0400 $1.15 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1200 $1.31 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4500 $0.9800 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.0600 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1400 $0.9900 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.1400) versus DCF Models ($0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.06 TTM
EPS (TTM) $-2.35
Net margin -57.4% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) -7.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.9% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $197M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.5% 3y avg +16.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $936K FY2025
Net debt $50.2M FY2025 · ≈ 53.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nvni Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates in business-to-business software as a service (SaaS) market in Brazil and Latin America.

Full company description

Nvni Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates in business-to-business software as a service (SaaS) market in Brazil and Latin America. It provides software subscription and licensing services, in which clients have access to software on multiple devices simultaneously; maintenance services, including technical support and technological evolution; and cloud computing, client, data analytics, and other services. Nvni Group Limited is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of R$197M in FY2025 versus R$89.9M in FY2021, a compound +21.6%/yr. Reported net income was −R$113M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$197M
Latest YoY
+1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+74.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +21.6%/yr
FY21 R$89.9M
FY22 R$125M
FY23 R$169M
FY24 R$193M
FY25 R$197M
Net income
FY21 −R$77.7M
FY22 −R$114M
FY23 −R$255M
FY24 −R$86.2M
FY25 −R$113M

NVNI screens 88% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NVNI

Peer Group

Software - Application · 729 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -57% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 39
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Insider activity: 52/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 -11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 -86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.49 $43.66 -44%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $252.05 $249.28 -1%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 -68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $334.68 $112.57 -66%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $289.15 $454.04 +57%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $284.68 $177.51 -38%
Intuit Inc INTU $348.00 $363.46 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares (NVNI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1200 versus a price of $0.9960, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NVNI?
Our model-based fair value for Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares is $0.1200 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.9960.
What is the quality score of NVNI?
Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares (NVNI)?
Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $197M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NVNI?
The net profit margin of Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares is about -57.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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