Nexity (NXI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nexity €13.10, price €5.19, upside +152.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.08 – €36.17 · fair‑value band €9.87 – €16.18 · the €5.19 price screens below the €13.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Nexity SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Europe and internationally. It operates through Planning and Development, Services, and Other Activities divisions. The company develops new homes and building plots, as well as office buildings, business parks, logistics platforms, shops, and hotels.
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Nexity SA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate company in Europe and internationally. It operates through Planning and Development, Services, and Other Activities divisions. The company develops new homes and building plots, as well as office buildings, business parks, logistics platforms, shops, and hotels. It also provides property management and serviced properties for student residences and coworking spaces; and markets real estate products. In addition, the company is involved in the provision investment activities. It serves individuals, businesses, and local authorities. Nexity SA was founded in 1995 and is based in Saint-Ouen, France.
Stock analysis
Nexity (NXI) currently trades at €5.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €13.10, implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €40.92 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the €5.19 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €6.68, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €9.87 (bear) to €16.18 (bull), the price of €5.19 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Nexity reported revenue of €2.8B in FY2025 versus €4.5B in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€189M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €434M · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) €−3.40 · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) €2.8B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 153%, NXI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €9.87Fair Value €13.10Bull €16.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.4% (2020) → −5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 132 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside+153% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nexity Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NXI
Frequently asked questions
Is Nexity (NXI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €13.10 versus a price of €5.19, about +153% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NXI?
Our model-based fair value for Nexity is €13.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.19.
What is the quality score of NXI?
Nexity has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nexity (NXI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €13.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.87, optimistic scenario €16.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nexity stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €13.10, about +153% upside versus a price of €5.19 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €9.87, optimistic scenario €16.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nexity (NXI)?
Nexity reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nexity (NXI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nexity it is €13.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €5.19. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nexity stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, NXI trades below its calculated fair value: price €5.19, fair value €13.10, a gap of about +153% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€13.10). For Nexity the two are €7.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nexity worth?
The market values Nexity at about €434M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €5.19; our models calculate a fair value of €13.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXI?
Our models span a range for Nexity: cautious scenario €9.87, base €13.10, optimistic €16.18 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €5.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NXI?
The PEG ratio of Nexity is 7.38 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nexity (NXI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nexity (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.5%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXI from its 52-week high?
Nexity trades at €5.19, about 54% below its 52-week high of €11.16 and 2% above the low of €5.08 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €13.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nexity?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nexity stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €5.19, calculated fair value €13.10 (+153%), Quality Score 42/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXI calculated?
We run Nexity through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €13.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nexity currently trades 153 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nexity (NXI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €5.19. Our model-based fair value is €13.10, about +153% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nexity right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€9.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Nexity
How large is the market capitalisation of Nexity (NXI)?
The market capitalisation of Nexity is €434M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nexity (NXI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nexity is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nexity (NXI)?
Earnings per share at Nexity are €−3.40. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nexity (NXI)?
The net margin of Nexity is −6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nexity (NXI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nexity is −10.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nexity (NXI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nexity is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nexity (NXI)?
The operating margin of Nexity is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nexity (NXI)?
Revenue at Nexity is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nexity (NXI)?
Earnings per share at Nexity are growing +375% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nexity (NXI) generate?
The free cash flow of Nexity is €177M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nexity (NXI) carry?
The net debt of Nexity is €1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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