Nayax Ltd (NYAX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.4B
Nayax Ltd
NYAX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $18.55 to $17.49 (−5.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($27.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($13.11 to $27.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range $16.38 – $75.81 · fair‑value band $13.11 – $27.43 · the $69.06 price screens above the $17.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Nayax Ltd (NYAX) currently trades at $69.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.49, implying the stock looks roughly 74.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nayax Ltd generated revenue of $426M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 31.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $73.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.11 (bear case) to $27.43 (bull case); at $69.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -75%, NYAX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($46.39) versus Asset-Based ($4.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated self-service customers in-house in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Israel, and the rest of the world.
Full company description
Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated self-service customers in-house in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Israel, and the rest of the world. It offers POS, cashless payments, and charging stations, such as VPOS Touch, Onyx, Nova Market, DOT, Nova C4, Nova C3, EV-Meter, EV Kiosk, Nova 55F, Nova 22, Nova 156, Nova Modu, and Nova Kiosk; management suite and telemetry solutions, Nayax Core Management Suite, MoMa, Vending Management System, Nayax Energy Core, and Retail Management Cloud; marketing, loyalty, and consumer engagement platforms, such as Monyx Wallet and Weezmo; payments and integrations solutions, including API Suite and Coinbridge. The company serves vending machines, kiosks, self-checkouts, ticketing machines, laundromats, gaming terminals, and EV charging stations. Nayax Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nayax Ltd reported revenue of $433M in FY2025 versus $119M in FY2021, a compound +38.1%/yr. Reported net income was $38.4M in FY2025.
NYAX screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
Compare Nayax Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Nayax Ltd (NYAX) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of NYAX?
What is the quality score of NYAX?
What is the revenue of Nayax Ltd (NYAX)?
What is the net profit margin of NYAX?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Nayax Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.