Obic Co., Ltd. ADR (OBICY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Obic Co., Ltd. ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
A solid business, but trading 23% above our fair value of $13.16.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Obic Co., Ltd. ADR is $13.16 per share against a price of $16.16, so the fair value sits 19% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $12.75 to $13.16 (+3.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +16.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range ($8.29 to $17.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (13 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
13‑month range $11.26 – $18.26 · fair‑value band $8.29 – $17.06 · the $16.16 price screens above the $13.16 fair value. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Analysis
Obic Co., Ltd. ADR (OBICY) currently trades at $16.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.16, implying the stock looks roughly 22.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $12.08 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $16.16 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.26, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Obic Co., Ltd. ADR generated revenue of ¥135B at a net margin of 55.6%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 30.5. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $8.29 (bear) to $17.06 (bull), the price of $16.16 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −19%, OBICY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($12.08) versus Asset-Based ($2.26). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
OBIC Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides system integration, system support, office automation, and package software services in Japan.
Full company description
OBIC Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides system integration, system support, office automation, and package software services in Japan. The company offers OBIC7 series ERP software which provide integrated administrative systems comprising personnel, payroll, working condition management, marketing, and production systems; and industry-specific application solutions that offers solutions tailored to the specific features of each business. It also provides system operation support and maintenance, and hardware maintenance; sells package software, and peripheral equipment and supplies; and engages in processing of printed materials. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Obic Co., Ltd. ADR reported revenue of ¥121B in FY2025 versus ¥89.5B in FY2022, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥64.6B in FY2025, compounding +14.1%/yr from FY2022.
OBICY screens 23% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 696 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Obic Co., Ltd. ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAP | €185.68 | €169.59 | −9% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | −86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $78.82 | $43.66 | −45% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $259.23 | $249.28 | −4% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $141.26 | $43.73 | −69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $292.70 | $112.57 | −62% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $337.18 | $42.27 | −87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $266.51 | $454.04 | +70% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $277.62 | $177.51 | −36% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $332.70 | $363.46 | +9% |
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