EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Orbital Corporation (OBTEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Orbital Corporation $0.02, price $0.09, upside -84.0%, quality 10 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN AU000000OEC2

OC Orbital Corporation logo Thin data Sep 28, 2026

Orbital Corporation

OBTEF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0150 · Strongly overvalued (−84.0%)
!Quality 10/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −24.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -73.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4.79 $0.0024 Fair Value $0.0150 Jul 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0024 – $4.79 · the $0.0940 price screens above the $0.0150 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Orbital Corporation Limited provides integrated propulsion systems and flight critical components for tactical unmanned aerial vehicles primarily in Australia and the United States. The company also offers design, proven manufacturing processes and rigorous testing to deliver superiority in UAV propulsion systems and flight critical components.

Show more

Orbital Corporation Limited provides integrated propulsion systems and flight critical components for tactical unmanned aerial vehicles primarily in Australia and the United States. The company also offers design, proven manufacturing processes and rigorous testing to deliver superiority in UAV propulsion systems and flight critical components. The company was formerly known as Orbital Engine Corporation Limited and changed its name to Orbital Corporation Limited in October 2004. Orbital Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Balcatta, Australia.

Stock analysis

Orbital Corporation (OBTEF) currently trades at $0.0940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0150, 84.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 10/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Orbital Corporation reported revenue of A$8.2M in FY2025 versus A$31.2M in FY2021, a compound −28.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.8M · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0300 · Net margin −52.2% · Return on equity −53.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.9% · Operating margin −73.4% · Revenue (TTM) A$8.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and 840% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −84%, OBTEF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0150 Fair Value $0.0150 Bull $0.0150
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when OBTEF reaches fair value

Put OBTEF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 10/100

Of which business quality 15 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 1
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.5% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.1% (2020) → −102.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OBTEF screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

Compare Orbital Corporation with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $312.29 $92.61 −70%
RTX Corporation RTX $185.01 $88.30 −52%
Airbus SE AIR €185.60 €112.14 −40%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $509.25 $439.62 −14%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $230.94 $52.67 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $334.16 $274.19 −18%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $504.61 $382.98 −24%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,116 $1,228 +10%
Thales S.A HO €222.70 €170.99 −23%
Rheinmetall AG RHM €956.90 €313.19 −67%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Orbital Corporation · Fair Value
$0.0150 −84%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orbital Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OBTEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Orbital Corporation (OBTEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0150 versus a price of $0.0940, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OBTEF?
Our model-based fair value for Orbital Corporation is $0.0150 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0940.
What is the quality score of OBTEF?
Orbital Corporation has a Quality Score of 10/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0150 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orbital Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0150, about −84% upside versus a price of $0.0940 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
Orbital Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$8.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orbital Corporation it is $0.0150 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $0.0940. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orbital Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, OBTEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0940, fair value $0.0150, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OBTEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0940); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0150). For Orbital Corporation the two are $0.0790 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orbital Corporation worth?
The market values Orbital Corporation at about $1.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $0.0940; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0150 per share.
How far is OBTEF from its 52-week high?
Orbital Corporation trades at $0.0940, about 91% below its 52-week high of $1.00 and 840% above the low of $0.0100 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0150 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orbital Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orbital Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $0.0940, calculated fair value $0.0150 (−84%), Quality Score 10/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OBTEF calculated?
We run Orbital Corporation through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0150, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Orbital Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $0.0940. Our model-based fair value is $0.0150, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orbital Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0150). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (10/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Orbital Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
The market capitalisation of Orbital Corporation is $1.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orbital Corporation is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
Earnings per share at Orbital Corporation are $−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
The net margin of Orbital Corporation is −52.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orbital Corporation is −53.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orbital Corporation is −24.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
The operating margin of Orbital Corporation is −73.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
Revenue at Orbital Corporation is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orbital Corporation (OBTEF)?
Earnings per share at Orbital Corporation are growing −78.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orbital Corporation (OBTEF) generate?
The free cash flow of Orbital Corporation is −A$5.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Orbital Corporation (OBTEF) carry?
The net debt of Orbital Corporation is A$1.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Continue in the live analysis

Fair value and trend for 35,000+ stocks, watchlist, comparison and the diversification check. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Open the live analysis →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.