OCI N.V (OCI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · NL · Market cap €860M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −0.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 179% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€7.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€7.91 to €14.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.30 – €5.81 · fair‑value band €7.91 – €14.69 · the €4.05 price screens below the €11.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
OCI N.V (OCI) currently trades at €4.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.30, implying the stock looks roughly 178.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, OCI N.V generated revenue of €1.1B at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.7%. Net debt stands at €137M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €7.91 (bear case) to €14.69 (bull case); at €4.05, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 179%, OCI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€14.80) versus Asset-Based (€3.41). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OCI N.V. produces and distributes hydrogen-based and natural gas-based products to agricultural, transportation, and industrial customers in Europe, the Americas, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Methanol US, Methanol Europe, and Nitrogen Europe segments.
Full company description
OCI N.V. produces and distributes hydrogen-based and natural gas-based products to agricultural, transportation, and industrial customers in Europe, the Americas, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Methanol US, Methanol Europe, and Nitrogen Europe segments. The company offers anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, calcium ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulphate, ammonium nitrate + sulphur, renewable and lower carbon ammonia, nitric acid, melamine, carbon dioxide, and diesel exhaust fluid, as well as other nitrogen products. It also provides storage and shipment services for ammonia at the port of Rotterdam. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OCI N.V reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €6.3B in FY2021, a compound −35.6%/yr. Reported net income was €184M in FY2025, compounding −24.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OCI N.V. statement on NNS
- OCI N.V. statement regarding Oceanwood Capital
- OCI N.V. recommends the unsolicited all-cash Offer from NNS at EUR 4.10 per share. The Court-appointed Directors consent to the convocation
- OCI N.V. confirms receipt of unsolicited voluntary cash offer from NNS of EUR 4.10 per Share
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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