Oracle Corporation (OCLCF) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $7.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −8.2% over the past month.
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($37.27 to $72.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $48.29 – $120.73 · fair‑value band $37.27 – $72.48 · the $55.00 price screens above the $54.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Oracle Corporation (OCLCF) currently trades at $55.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $54.29, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oracle Corporation generated revenue of $277B at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $66.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $37.27 (bear case) to $72.48 (bull case); at $55.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -1%, OCLCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($51.84) versus Asset-Based ($5.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oracle Corporation Japan provides software, hardware, and cloud products and solutions in Japan. It operates in three segments: Cloud & License, Hardware Systems, and Services.
Full company description
Oracle Corporation Japan provides software, hardware, and cloud products and solutions in Japan. It operates in three segments: Cloud & License, Hardware Systems, and Services. The company offers cloud infrastructure, artificial intelligence and machine learning, analysis, payment and cost management, compute, database and developer services, distributed cloud and multicloud, governance and management, identity management and security, integration, migration and disaster recovery, network and connectivity, observability and management, and storage, as well as license and technical support; and software licenses for application software, such as database management, various middleware, enterprise resource planning, supply chain and manufacturing, human resource management, and customer experience, as well as fusion data intelligence platform, NetSuite, and Oracle Marketplace. It also provides hardware systems products, which include servers, storage, engineered systems, network equipment, and operating systems (OS) and related software; hardware systems support, such as repair and maintenance for hardware products, and updates for OS; and provision of Java, Oracle Database, MySQL, Linux, NoSQL, Exadata, servers and storage, and on-premise applications. In addition, the company offers consulting; product implementation support; customer services; preventive maintenance; operation and management; and education for building information systems. It serves the automotive, communication, construction and engineering, consumer goods, education and research, utilities, finance, restaurant, government, medical and welfare, hospitality, industrial machinery manufacturing, life sciences, media and entertainment, oil and gas, professional services, public safety administrative, retail, travel/transportation, and wholesale industries. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan. Oracle Corporation Japan is a subsidiary of Oracle Japan Holding Inc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oracle Corporation reported revenue of $264B in FY2025 versus $209B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $60.7B in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
| PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO | 50.00 IDR | 18.67 IDR | -63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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