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Oracle Corporation (OCLCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $7.1B

OC Oracle Corporation logo Oracle Corporation OCLCF · US
Price$55.00
Fair Value$54.29
Upside-1.3%
Quality82/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: High Range $37.27 – $72.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −8.2% over the past month.

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($37.27 to $72.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$120.73 $48.29 Fair Value $54.29 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $48.29 – $120.73 · fair‑value band $37.27 – $72.48 · the $55.00 price screens above the $54.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Oracle Corporation (OCLCF) currently trades at $55.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $54.29, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oracle Corporation generated revenue of $277B at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $66.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.27 (bear case) to $72.48 (bull case); at $55.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -1%, OCLCF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $36.73 $50.83 $69.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.66 $41.37 $55.69 74
ROIC Compounder $30.53 $35.85 $41.13 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $36.11 $51.84 $74.24 38
Owner Earnings $33.77 $48.37 $69.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.66 $41.03 $56.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $38.51 $59.07 $82.54 41
5Y P/E Exit $39.91 $61.64 $83.92 38
10Y Revenue Exit $30.55 $42.18 $56.91 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $37.27 $54.29 $76.09 37
10Y P/E Exit $38.14 $56.02 $77.10 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $19.98 $55.90 $73.51 54
Lynch FV $11.27 $16.10 $20.93 50
PEG = 1.0 $11.27 $16.10 $20.93 46
EPV $29.65 $33.83 $37.43 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $44.06 $58.75 $73.44 63
P/S Multiple $23.90 $31.87 $39.84 58
P/B Multiple $17.82 $23.75 $29.69 55
EV/EBIT $59.93 $78.83 $97.74 53
EV/EBITDA $44.77 $58.62 $72.47 54
EV/Revenue $25.53 $35.09 $44.65 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.96 $5.31 $7.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $36.73 $50.83 $69.81 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.66 $41.37 $55.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.43 $29.69 $281.81 61
ROIC Compounder $30.53 $35.85 $41.13 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $35.32 $50.46 $65.60 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($51.84) versus Asset-Based ($5.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $277B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net margin 22.7%
Return on equity 37.4%
Free cash flow $64.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 18.7
More key figures
Operating margin 33.8%
EPS (TTM) $2.98
EPS growth (YoY) +9.7%
Net cash $66.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 84
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oracle Corporation Japan provides software, hardware, and cloud products and solutions in Japan. It operates in three segments: Cloud & License, Hardware Systems, and Services.

Full company description

Oracle Corporation Japan provides software, hardware, and cloud products and solutions in Japan. It operates in three segments: Cloud & License, Hardware Systems, and Services. The company offers cloud infrastructure, artificial intelligence and machine learning, analysis, payment and cost management, compute, database and developer services, distributed cloud and multicloud, governance and management, identity management and security, integration, migration and disaster recovery, network and connectivity, observability and management, and storage, as well as license and technical support; and software licenses for application software, such as database management, various middleware, enterprise resource planning, supply chain and manufacturing, human resource management, and customer experience, as well as fusion data intelligence platform, NetSuite, and Oracle Marketplace. It also provides hardware systems products, which include servers, storage, engineered systems, network equipment, and operating systems (OS) and related software; hardware systems support, such as repair and maintenance for hardware products, and updates for OS; and provision of Java, Oracle Database, MySQL, Linux, NoSQL, Exadata, servers and storage, and on-premise applications. In addition, the company offers consulting; product implementation support; customer services; preventive maintenance; operation and management; and education for building information systems. It serves the automotive, communication, construction and engineering, consumer goods, education and research, utilities, finance, restaurant, government, medical and welfare, hospitality, industrial machinery manufacturing, life sciences, media and entertainment, oil and gas, professional services, public safety administrative, retail, travel/transportation, and wholesale industries. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan. Oracle Corporation Japan is a subsidiary of Oracle Japan Holding Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oracle Corporation reported revenue of $264B in FY2025 versus $209B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $60.7B in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$264B
Latest YoY
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+5.9%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 $209B
FY22 $215B
FY23 $227B
FY24 $245B
FY25 $264B
Net income +5.4%/yr
FY21 $49.2B
FY22 $51.2B
FY23 $52.0B
FY24 $55.6B
FY25 $60.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oracle Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OCLCF

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.7× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 32 · sector 0
FUTURE 33 · sector 46
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%
PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO 50.00 IDR 18.67 IDR -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oracle Corporation (OCLCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $54.29 versus a price of $55.00, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of OCLCF?
Our model-based fair value for Oracle Corporation is $54.29 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $55.00.
What is the quality score of OCLCF?
Oracle Corporation has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oracle Corporation (OCLCF)?
Oracle Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $277B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OCLCF?
The net profit margin of Oracle Corporation is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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