Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Oracle Corporation Japan stock $70.92, price $63.14, upside +12.3%, quality 78 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $50.81 – $127.05 · fair‑value band $47.15 – $95.76 · the $63.14 price screens below the $70.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Oracle Corporation Japan provides software, hardware, and cloud products and solutions in Japan. It operates in three segments: Cloud & License, Hardware Systems, and Services.
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The company offers cloud infrastructure, artificial intelligence and machine learning, analysis, payment and cost management, compute, database and developer services, distributed cloud and multicloud, governance and management, identity management and security, integration, migration and disaster recovery, network and connectivity, observability and management, and storage, as well as license and technical support; and software licenses for application software, such as database management, various middleware, enterprise resource planning, supply chain and manufacturing, human resource management, and customer experience, as well as fusion data intelligence platform, NetSuite, and Oracle Marketplace.
It also provides hardware systems products, which include servers, storage, engineered systems, network equipment, and operating systems (OS) and related software; hardware systems support, such as repair and maintenance for hardware products, and updates for OS; and provision of Java, Oracle Database, MySQL, Linux, NoSQL, Exadata, servers and storage, and on-premise applications.
In addition, the company offers consulting; product implementation support; customer services; preventive maintenance; operation and management; and education for building information systems.
It serves the automotive, communication, construction and engineering, consumer goods, education and research, utilities, finance, restaurant, government, medical and welfare, hospitality, industrial machinery manufacturing, life sciences, media and entertainment, oil and gas, professional services, public safety administrative, retail, travel/transportation, and wholesale industries.
The company was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan. Oracle Corporation Japan is a subsidiary of Oracle Japan Holding Inc.
Stock analysis
Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) currently trades at $63.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $70.92, implying the stock looks roughly 11% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $73.67 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $63.14 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.03, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $47.15 (bear) to $95.76 (bull), the price of $63.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Oracle Corporation Japan reported revenue of ¥285B in FY2026 versus ¥215B in FY2022, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥63.6B in FY2026, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $8.1B Mid · P/E ratio 18.9 · P/S ratio 4.21 · EPS (TTM) $3.34 · Net margin 22.3% · Return on equity 34.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 34.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 92 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 12%, OCLCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$47.15Fair Value $70.92Bull$95.76
Price $63.14 · Upside +12.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.47 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.3% vs 6.5%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 32%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.9% a year for the price and +4.8% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (7 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
AI conclusion: Strong profitability and cash generation stand out as the main strength while the absence of public signals on most moat factors remains the key weakness limiting broader assessment.
Main risk: Japanese firms could accelerate shifts to PostgreSQL, Azure or AWS databases to cut high licence costs and avoid vendor lock-in, eroding Oracle Japan's enterprise software and cloud margins.
Bull case: Oracle Japan could retain customers by expanding hybrid multi-cloud offerings such as Oracle Database@AWS and embedding AI features that lower operational costs for clients while deepening integration with existing systems.
Bear case: Accelerating customer migrations to open-source or rival cloud databases combined with any slowdown in parent product innovation could shrink Oracle Japan's addressable market and compress margins in its core software and cloud segments.
Oracle Japan delivered record first-quarter sales with cloud revenue rising 32 percent year over year on strong infrastructure demand in Tokyo and Osaka. A recent first-of-its-kind production deployment of its AI Database on AWS for a major Japanese core system shows hybrid cloud adoption accelerating. Does the local operation gain more lasting margin expansion from these AI-driven migrations than it loses to parent royalties and global project risks?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 345 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score78 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+12.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)34.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets17.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)22.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)34.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)18.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B6.25× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.37× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)17.7× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oracle Corporation Japan Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OCLCF
Frequently asked questions
Is Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $70.92 versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $63.14, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OCLCF?
Our model-based fair value for Oracle Corporation Japan is $70.92 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 30, 2026): $63.14.
What is the quality score of OCLCF?
Oracle Corporation Japan has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $70.92 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $47.15, optimistic scenario $95.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Oracle Corporation Japan stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $70.92, about +12% upside versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $63.14 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $47.15, optimistic scenario $95.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Oracle Corporation Japan reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥294B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Oracle Corporation Japan would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OCLCF use?
Our models discount Oracle Corporation Japan at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Oracle Corporation Japan that is +6.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Oracle Corporation Japan grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Oracle Corporation Japan (+6.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.67 %: that much free cash flow Oracle Corporation Japan produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Oracle Corporation Japan it is $70.92 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $63.14. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Oracle Corporation Japan stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, OCLCF trades below its calculated fair value: price $63.14, fair value $70.92, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OCLCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($63.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($70.92). For Oracle Corporation Japan the two are $7.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Oracle Corporation Japan worth?
The market values Oracle Corporation Japan at about $8.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $63.14; our models calculate a fair value of $70.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OCLCF?
Our models span a range for Oracle Corporation Japan: cautious scenario $47.15, base $70.92, optimistic $95.76 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $63.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OCLCF?
Oracle Corporation Japan trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $70.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.3, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Oracle Corporation Japan (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 34.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 78/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OCLCF from its 52-week high?
Oracle Corporation Japan trades at $63.14, about 30% below its 52-week high of $90.06 and 15% above the low of $55.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $70.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Oracle Corporation Japan?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Oracle Corporation Japan stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $63.14, calculated fair value $70.92 (+12%), Quality Score 78/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OCLCF calculated?
We run Oracle Corporation Japan through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $70.92 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Oracle Corporation Japan currently trades 11% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 30, 2026 and stands at $63.14. Our model-based fair value is $70.92, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Oracle Corporation Japan right now?
A fairly wide model range ($47.15 to $95.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) come from?
Earnings per share at Oracle Corporation Japan grew +6.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.1 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Oracle Corporation Japan
How large is the market capitalisation of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The market capitalisation of Oracle Corporation Japan is $8.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Oracle Corporation Japan is 4.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Earnings per share at Oracle Corporation Japan are $3.34 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The net margin of Oracle Corporation Japan is 22.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Oracle Corporation Japan is 34.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Oracle Corporation Japan is 26.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
The operating margin of Oracle Corporation Japan is 34.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Revenue at Oracle Corporation Japan is growing +13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF)?
Earnings per share at Oracle Corporation Japan are growing +23.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Oracle Corporation Japan (OCLCF) hold?
Oracle Corporation Japan holds more cash than debt, ¥85.1B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026