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ONE Gas, Inc (OGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $4.9B

Price$77.99
Fair Value$61.50
Upside-21.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $45.82 – $79.95

Analysis

ONE Gas, Inc (OGS) currently trades at $77.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $61.50 — implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

ONE Gas, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a regulated natural gas distribution utility company in the United States. The company offers natural gas distribution services. As of December 31, 2025, it owned 43,200 miles of distribution pipelines and 2,200 miles of transmission pipelines. The company serves approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, industrial, transportation, and wholesale customers in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas. ONE Gas, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.