Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 13, 2026: fair value of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi IDR 34, price IDR 90, upside -62.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 825.00 IDR · fair‑value band 30.61 IDR – 38.52 IDR · the 90.00 IDR price screens above the 33.79 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk engages in the metal scrap trading activities in Indonesia. It operates through Unprocessed Scrap Iron, Food and Beverage Ingredients, and Processed Scrap Iron segments. The company trades in iron, steel, stainless steel materials, and food and beverage ingredients.
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PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk engages in the metal scrap trading activities in Indonesia. It operates through Unprocessed Scrap Iron, Food and Beverage Ingredients, and Processed Scrap Iron segments. The company trades in iron, steel, stainless steel materials, and food and beverage ingredients. It also supplies metal scraps, including copper, brass, cast iron, iron scrap, and ship spare parts to steel manufacturers. In addition, the company is involved in ship cutting operations. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia. PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Asian Perkasa Indosteel.
Stock analysis
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) currently trades at 90.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.79 IDR, 62.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 58.20 IDR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 90.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 28.27 IDR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 30.61 IDR (bear) to 38.52 IDR (bull), the price of 90.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi reported revenue of 6.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 41.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −37.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.6B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 75.3B IDR (≈ $4.2M) · P/S ratio 11.3 · EPS (TTM) −1.11 IDR · Net margin −102% · Return on equity −8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.7% · Operating margin −101% · Revenue (TTM) 6.6B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −62%, OPMS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 30.61 IDRFair Value 33.79 IDRBull 38.52 IDR
Price 90.00 IDR · Upside -62.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−84.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.9% (2020) → −111.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.1% a year for the price.
Compare Optima Prima Metal Sinergi with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 152 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−94.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−101.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth30.8% · Top 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 42
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPMS
Frequently asked questions
Is Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.79 IDR versus a price of 90.00 IDR, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OPMS?
Our model-based fair value for Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is 33.79 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 90.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of OPMS?
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.79 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 30.61 IDR, optimistic scenario 38.52 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Optima Prima Metal Sinergi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.79 IDR, about −62% upside versus a price of 90.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 30.61 IDR, optimistic scenario 38.52 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.6B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Optima Prima Metal Sinergi would have to grow free cash flow by +21.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -28.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OPMS use?
Our models discount Optima Prima Metal Sinergi at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Optima Prima Metal Sinergi that is +21.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Optima Prima Metal Sinergi grew -28.6 % a year. The price currently implies +21.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (+21.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.75 %: that much free cash flow Optima Prima Metal Sinergi produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Optima Prima Metal Sinergi it is 33.79 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 90.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Optima Prima Metal Sinergi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, OPMS trades above its calculated fair value: price 90.00 IDR, fair value 33.79 IDR, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OPMS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (90.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.79 IDR). For Optima Prima Metal Sinergi the two are 56.21 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Optima Prima Metal Sinergi worth?
The market values Optima Prima Metal Sinergi at about 75.3B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 90.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 33.79 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OPMS?
Our models span a range for Optima Prima Metal Sinergi: cautious scenario 30.61 IDR, base 33.79 IDR, optimistic 38.52 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 90.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −8.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OPMS from its 52-week high?
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi trades at 90.00 IDR, about 66% below its 52-week high of 268.00 IDR and 8% above the low of 83.00 IDR (as of Oct 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.79 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Optima Prima Metal Sinergi?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Optima Prima Metal Sinergi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 90.00 IDR, calculated fair value 33.79 IDR (−62%), Quality Score 55/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OPMS calculated?
We run Optima Prima Metal Sinergi through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.79 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Optima Prima Metal Sinergi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The closing price on Oct 13, 2026 was 90.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 33.79 IDR, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Optima Prima Metal Sinergi right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (38.52 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi
How large is the market capitalisation of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The market capitalisation of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is 75.3B IDR (≈ $4.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is 11.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Earnings per share at Optima Prima Metal Sinergi are −1.11 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The net margin of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is −102% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is −8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is −6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
The operating margin of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is −101% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Revenue at Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is growing +30.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −34.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Earnings per share at Optima Prima Metal Sinergi are growing +134% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) hold?
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi holds more cash than debt, 11.9B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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