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Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 82.4B IDR (≈ $8.2M) · ISIN ID1000151301

OP Optima Prima Metal Sinergi OPMS · JK
Price122.00 IDR
Fair Value28.88 IDR
Upside-76.3%
Quality59/100
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Strengths

generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 322% ABOVE our fair value of 28.88 IDR
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −28.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -105.7% net margin
!Trails peers (2/8)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −28.6 %/yr)
Loss-making · -105.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range 24.61 IDR – 33.16 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +14.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 322% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (33.16 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

850.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 28.88 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 850.00 IDR · fair‑value band 24.61 IDR – 33.16 IDR · the 122.00 IDR price screens above the 28.88 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) currently trades at 122.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 28.88 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 76.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 6.2B IDR. Revenue declined 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 11.9B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 24.61 IDR (bear case) to 33.16 IDR (bull case); at 122.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -76%, OPMS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 40.57 IDR 49.97 IDR 66.05 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 29.88 IDR 35.22 IDR 42.01 IDR 67
NCAV (Graham) 44.56 IDR 59.71 IDR 89.12 IDR 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 39.42 IDR 49.11 IDR 67.05 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 29.88 IDR 34.64 IDR 41.53 IDR 39
10Y Revenue Exit 33.17 IDR 37.06 IDR 41.03 IDR 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 24.73 IDR 29.01 IDR 33.28 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 44.56 IDR 59.71 IDR 89.12 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 40.57 IDR 49.97 IDR 66.05 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 29.88 IDR 35.22 IDR 42.01 IDR 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (59.71 IDR) versus Multiples (29.01 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 11.1 TTM
EPS (TTM) -1.11 IDR
Net margin -102% FY2025
Return on equity -8.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -6.7% avg 5y
Operating margin -164% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 6.2B IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.9% 3y avg -34.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +134%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 2.1B IDR FY2025
Net cash 11.9B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk engages in the metal scrap trading activities in Indonesia. It operates through Unprocessed Scrap Iron, Food and Beverage Ingredients, and Processed Scrap Iron segments. The company trades in iron, steel, stainless steel materials, and food and beverage ingredients.

Full company description

PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk engages in the metal scrap trading activities in Indonesia. It operates through Unprocessed Scrap Iron, Food and Beverage Ingredients, and Processed Scrap Iron segments. The company trades in iron, steel, stainless steel materials, and food and beverage ingredients. It also supplies metal scraps, including copper, brass, cast iron, iron scrap, and ship spare parts to steel manufacturers. In addition, the company is involved in ship cutting operations. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia. PT Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Pt Asian Perkasa Indosteel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Optima Prima Metal Sinergi reported revenue of 6.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 41.2B IDR in FY2021, a compound −37.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.6B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.5B IDR
Latest YoY
−84.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−34.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−28.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −37.1%/yr
FY21 41.2B IDR
FY22 22.5B IDR
FY23 9.1B IDR
FY24 40.8B IDR
FY25 6.5B IDR
Net income
FY21 −354M IDR
FY22 −861M IDR
FY23 −4.8B IDR
FY24 −8.3B IDR
FY25 −6.6B IDR

OPMS screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OPMS

Peer Group

Waste Management · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -106% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -164% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $217.76 $128.02 -41%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $222.18 $120.63 -46%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$230.52 C$78.67 -66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €32.58 €23.26 -29%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $311.81 $154.01 -51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$57.62 C$44.27 -23%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €11.30 €7.30 -35%
Umicore SA UMI €24.22 €27.16 +12%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.67 ¥5.27 -21%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥14.86 ¥20.95 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 28.88 IDR versus a price of 122.00 IDR, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OPMS?
Our model-based fair value for Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is 28.88 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 122.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of OPMS?
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi (OPMS)?
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OPMS?
The net profit margin of Optima Prima Metal Sinergi is about -105.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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