Orsero S.p.A (ORS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €285M · ISIN IT0005138703
What is Orsero S.p.A really worth?
A solid business, trading 50% below our fair value of €33.63.
As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of Orsero S.p.A is €33.63 per share against a price of €16.82, so the fair value sits 100% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€20.02). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€20.02 to €44.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.57 – €19.05 · fair‑value band €20.02 – €44.79 · the €16.82 price screens below the €33.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Orsero S.p.A (ORS) currently trades at €16.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €33.63, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €34.36 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the €16.82 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €10.67, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Orsero S.p.A generated revenue of €1.7B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at €37.9M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €20.02 (bear case) to €44.79 (bull case); at €16.82, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 100%, ORS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.7777 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€34.36) versus Asset-Based (€10.67). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Orsero S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, imports and distributes fruits and vegetables in Europe, Latin America, and Central America. It operates through three segments: Distribution Sector, Shipping Sector, and Holding and Services Sector.
Full company description
Orsero S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, imports and distributes fruits and vegetables in Europe, Latin America, and Central America. It operates through three segments: Distribution Sector, Shipping Sector, and Holding and Services Sector. The company offers exotic fruits, berries, kiwis, and table grapes, as well as citrus fruits, stone fruit, and fresh-cuts; and avocados. It also engages in the maritime transport of bananas and pineapples under the F.lli Orsero and Simba brands. In addition, the company provides customs, information technology, and holding coordination services. Orsero S.p.A. was founded in 1940 and is based in Milan, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Orsero S.p.A reported revenue of €1.7B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was €29.2M in FY2025, compounding +12.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.94 | $59.83 | −27% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $107.78 | $53.53 | −50% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | −65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €18.00 | €21.59 | +20% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | −66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.04 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +104% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $43.62 | $6.00 | −86% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $64.56 | $47.78 | −26% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | −79% |
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