Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A (ORVR3) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$10.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −9.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$9.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$21.80 – R$83.89 · fair‑value band R$5.87 – R$9.78 · the R$67.85 price screens above the R$7.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A (ORVR3) currently trades at R$67.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$7.82, implying the stock looks roughly 88.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A generated revenue of R$1.1B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 37.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at R$1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$5.87 (bear case) to R$9.78 (bull case); at R$67.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -88%, ORVR3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$11.67) versus Dividend Discount (R$2.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A. operates as a waste recovery process company. It engages in ecoparks: disposal of solid waste; energy and renewable gas, circular economy, co-processing, CDR and reverse manufacturing, production of organic fertilizers, energy recovery unit, and carbon credits.
Full company description
Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A. operates as a waste recovery process company. It engages in ecoparks: disposal of solid waste; energy and renewable gas, circular economy, co-processing, CDR and reverse manufacturing, production of organic fertilizers, energy recovery unit, and carbon credits. The company also offers recovery of degraded areas, remediation of contaminated areas, environmental diagnosis and monitoring, waste management, cleaning environmental, and cleaning of oil industry tank services, as well as Uses biogas for energy generation. The company was formerly known as Haztec Investimentos e Participações S.A. and changed its name to Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A. in August 2020. Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A. was founded in 1999 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil. Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A. subsidiary of Inovatec Participações S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Orizon Valorização de Resíduos S.A reported revenue of R$1.1B in FY2025 versus R$436M in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$60.1M in FY2025.
ORVR3 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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