Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. (OSKXF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $473M
Osaka Steel Co., Ltd.
OSKXF · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $12.35 to $19.60 (+58.7%) since Jul 17, 2026.
Below-average quality, trading 19% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Our model range runs from $15.02 (bear) to $24.18 (bull), base $19.60. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.34 – $17.92 · fair‑value band $15.02 – $24.18 · the $15.81 price screens below the $19.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. (OSKXF) currently trades at $15.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.60, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. generated revenue of $95.1B at a net margin of -22.0%. Revenue declined 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.5%. Net debt stands at $13.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.02 (bear case) to $24.18 (bull case); at $15.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 24%, OSKXF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($15.81) versus Multiples ($9.80). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of steel sections, bars, steel billets and processed steel products for the construction, civil engineering, shipbuilding, steel towers, and industrial machinery manufacturing applications in Japan.
Full company description
Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of steel sections, bars, steel billets and processed steel products for the construction, civil engineering, shipbuilding, steel towers, and industrial machinery manufacturing applications in Japan. It offers equal and unequal angles, channels, I-beams, round, and deformed bars, mechanical joints for reinforcing bars, rails, elevator guide rails, colored angles and channels, deformed and round joints, flat and square bars, billets, and other semifinished steel products. The company was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan. Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Nippon Steel Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Osaka Steel Co., Ltd. reported revenue of $95.7B in FY2026 versus $104B in FY2022, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.2B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +7.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Steel · 409 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation NUE | $250.50 | $116.05 | -54% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A MT | €64.60 | €46.04 | -29% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,296 | ₹1,119 | -14% |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD | $234.67 | $127.14 | -46% |
| 500228 500228 | ₹1,292 | ₹1,079 | -16% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.80 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| Reliance, Inc RS | $391.16 | $217.81 | -44% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.91 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| POSCO Holdings PKX | $57.09 | $83.53 | +46% |
| Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,114 | ₹429.44 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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