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Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · TR · ISIN TREOZAK00014

OG Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS

OZKGY · IS

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 7.79 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−38%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +40.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.58% dividend yield
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

16.03 TRY 0.9522 TRY Fair Value 7.79 TRY May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9522 TRY – 16.03 TRY · fair‑value band 5.56 TRY – 10.02 TRY · the 12.58 TRY price screens above the 7.79 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a real estate investment trust. It invests in the real estate markets of Turkey. Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. was founded in 2008 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY) currently trades at 12.58 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.79 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 61.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 30.15 TRY per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 12.58 TRY price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 12.16 TRY, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5.56 TRY (bear) to 10.02 TRY (bull), the price of 12.58 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported revenue of 6.4B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.5B TRY in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was −219M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 18.3B TRY (≈ $376M) · P/S ratio 3.04 · EPS (TTM) −0.2700 TRY · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin −19.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −38%, OZKGY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.56 TRY Fair Value 7.79 TRY Bull 10.02 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 12.24 TRY 15.24 TRY 18.24 TRY 67
EV/EBIT 9.93 TRY 12.16 TRY 14.39 TRY 66
DDM Multi-Stage n/a 0.0100 TRY 0.0100 TRY 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM n/a 0.0100 TRY 0.0200 TRY 59
DDM Multi-Stage n/a 0.0100 TRY 0.0100 TRY 63
Multiples
EV/EBIT 9.93 TRY 12.16 TRY 14.39 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 12.24 TRY 15.24 TRY 18.24 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 6.93 TRY 8.51 TRY 10.09 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.50 TRY 30.15 TRY 45.00 TRY 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.1%
Revenue growth 17 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.0%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
30.4% (2020) → 9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

OZKGY screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −41% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −29% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Goodman Group GMG A$26.91 A$7.37 −73%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $24.83 $50.79 +105%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $69.12 $69.67 +1%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$18.12 A$19.44 +7%
Stockland SGP A$4.09 A$2.79 −32%
COV COV €47.68 €50.01 +5%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.39 A$3.49 −21%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.76 A$0.5700 −68%
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $20.42 $14.11 −31%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.49 MYR 6.66 MYR −22%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OZKGY

Frequently asked questions

Is Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.79 TRY versus a price of 12.58 TRY, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OZKGY?
Our model-based fair value for Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 7.79 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 12.58 TRY.
What is the quality score of OZKGY?
Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.79 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.56 TRY, optimistic scenario 10.02 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.79 TRY, about −38% upside versus a price of 12.58 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.56 TRY, optimistic scenario 10.02 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS pay a dividend?
Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS it is 7.79 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 12.58 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, OZKGY trades above its calculated fair value: price 12.58 TRY, fair value 7.79 TRY, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OZKGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (12.58 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.79 TRY). For Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS the two are 4.79 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS worth?
The market values Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS at about 18.3B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 12.58 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 7.79 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OZKGY?
Our models span a range for Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS: cautious scenario 5.56 TRY, base 7.79 TRY, optimistic 10.02 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 12.58 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OZKGY from its 52-week high?
Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS trades at 12.58 TRY, about 23% below its 52-week high of 16.26 TRY and 9% above the low of 11.54 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.79 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 12.58 TRY, calculated fair value 7.79 TRY (−38%), Quality Score 27/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OZKGY calculated?
We run Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7.79 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was 12.58 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 7.79 TRY, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.02 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (5.56 TRY to 10.02 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The market capitalisation of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 18.3B TRY (≈ $376M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 3.04 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Earnings per share at Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are −0.2700 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The dividend yield of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The net margin of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
The operating margin of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −19.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Revenue at Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is growing −29.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY)?
Earnings per share at Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS are growing −42.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY) generate?
The free cash flow of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is −2.0B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS (OZKGY) carry?
The net debt of Ozak Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi AS is 1.6B TRY (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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