Pan Asia Footwear Public Company (PAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 529M THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 0.7800 THB to 0.7900 THB (+1.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.7900 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.5762 THB – 2.95 THB · fair‑value band 0.5600 THB – 0.7900 THB · the 0.9200 THB price screens above the 0.7900 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Pan Asia Footwear Public Company (PAF) currently trades at 0.9200 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.7900 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Pan Asia Footwear Public Company generated revenue of 2.2B THB at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 147M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.5600 THB (bear case) to 0.7900 THB (bull case); at 0.9200 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at -14%, PAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.7600 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.3700 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pan Asia Footwear Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes footwear and bags in Thailand and internationally. The company offers hemp and leather shoes, sandals, and sneakers; and backpacks, handcrafted small leather goods, and accessories under the DAYBREAK brand name.
Full company description
Pan Asia Footwear Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes footwear and bags in Thailand and internationally. The company offers hemp and leather shoes, sandals, and sneakers; and backpacks, handcrafted small leather goods, and accessories under the DAYBREAK brand name. It also provides polypropylene cutting boards for industrial, food and food service, household, and OEM industries under the PANA TECH brand name; and production support services, including plastic parts and rubber injection, molds manufacturing and repair, and fabric manufacturing and dyeing, as well as tooling. In addition, the company engages in the production of soles and parts for footwear; manufacturing of eyelet; organic farming business; and distribution activities. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Chonburi, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pan Asia Footwear Public Company reported revenue of 2.2B THB in FY2025 versus 675M THB in FY2021, a compound +34.0%/yr. Reported net income was 21.6M THB in FY2025.
PAF screens 14% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $44.37 | $35.63 | -20% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €165.00 | €65.71 | -60% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $106.49 | $125.16 | +18% |
| On Holding ONON | $38.20 | $17.64 | -54% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.11 | ¥13.03 | +8% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $44.36 | $44.14 | -0% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $138.91 | $203.65 | +47% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥31.10 | ¥54.71 | +76% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €29.31 | €10.57 | -64% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $43.26 | $11.69 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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