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Compass Gas e Energia S.A (PASS3) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$17.8B

CG Compass Gas e Energia S.A PASS3 · SA
PriceR$22.83
Fair ValueR$36.53
Upside+60.0%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: Medium Range R$21.87 – R$52.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from R$32.03 to R$36.53 (+14.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −6.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$21.87 to R$52.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 months)

R$27.39 R$22.83 Fair Value R$36.53 May 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

3‑month range R$22.83 – R$27.39 · fair‑value band R$21.87 – R$52.41 · the R$22.83 price screens below the R$36.53 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Compass Gas e Energia S.A (PASS3) currently trades at R$22.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$36.53, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Compass Gas e Energia S.A generated revenue of R$15.6B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue declined 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. Net debt stands at R$11.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$21.87 (bear case) to R$52.41 (bull case); at R$22.83, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 60%, PASS3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$19.18 R$31.91 R$53.70 80
Residual Income R$12.92 R$16.48 R$63.78 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$21.13 R$40.40 R$63.86 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$17.62 R$30.74 R$55.05 38
5Y Revenue Exit R$21.13 R$39.61 R$66.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$23.41 R$43.56 R$70.25 41
5Y P/E Exit R$11.58 R$23.08 R$36.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit R$18.37 R$32.03 R$46.82 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$20.87 R$34.47 R$49.02 37
10Y P/E Exit R$13.69 R$21.80 R$29.42 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$13.89 R$16.98 R$19.10 54
EPV R$19.49 R$25.37 R$30.52 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$9.35 R$10.23 R$11.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$9.35 R$11.73 R$15.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$27.58 R$36.77 R$45.96 63
P/S Multiple R$26.04 R$34.72 R$43.41 58
P/B Multiple R$11.44 R$15.25 R$19.07 55
EV/EBIT R$36.97 R$54.56 R$72.15 53
EV/EBITDA R$34.27 R$50.96 R$67.64 54
EV/Revenue R$26.88 R$45.18 R$63.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$4.24 R$5.68 R$8.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$19.18 R$31.91 R$53.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$21.13 R$40.40 R$63.86 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$12.92 R$16.48 R$63.78 76
ROIC Compounder R$19.49 R$26.90 R$34.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$19.59 R$27.99 R$36.39 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (R$36.77) versus Asset-Based (R$5.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$15.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.8%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 18.9%
Free cash flow R$2.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 29.8%
EPS (TTM) R$1.73
EPS growth (YoY) -12.2%
Net debt R$11.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Compass Gas e Energia S.A. engages in distribution and promotion of natural gas in Brazil. The company operates through two operating segments: Gas Distribution and Marketing and Services.

Full company description

Compass Gas e Energia S.A. engages in distribution and promotion of natural gas in Brazil. The company operates through two operating segments: Gas Distribution and Marketing and Services. It engages in distribution of piped natural gas, origination, commercialization and gas supply infrastructure, as well as the development of solutions aligned with the energy transition, including biomethane projects. The company serves serves customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, automotive, cogeneration, and thermoelectric generation. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil. Compass Gas e Energia S.A. is a subsidiary of Cosan Dez Participacoes S. A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Compass Gas e Energia S.A reported revenue of R$16.6B in FY2025 versus R$12.3B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.3B in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$16.6B
Latest YoY
−9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.6%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 R$12.3B
FY22 R$19.7B
FY23 R$17.8B
FY24 R$18.4B
FY25 R$16.6B
Net income −7.1%/yr
FY21 R$1.7B
FY22 R$1.8B
FY23 R$1.6B
FY24 R$2.0B
FY25 R$1.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compass Gas e Energia S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PASS3

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.14× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 75 · sector 34
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.84 €35.80 +24%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $177.68 $85.67 -52%
NiSource Inc NI $47.07 $28.59 -39%
Uniper SE UN0 €42.80 €49.13 +15%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.03 HK$5.08 -28%
Italgas S.p.A IG €9.98 €8.11 -19%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.71 ₹147.74 -14%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹723.90 ₹101.36 -86%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.30 ¥25.71 +49%
UGI Corporation UGI $35.84 $27.13 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Compass Gas e Energia S.A (PASS3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$36.53 versus a price of R$22.83, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PASS3?
Our model-based fair value for Compass Gas e Energia S.A is R$36.53 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$22.83.
What is the quality score of PASS3?
Compass Gas e Energia S.A has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Compass Gas e Energia S.A (PASS3)?
Compass Gas e Energia S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$15.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PASS3?
The net profit margin of Compass Gas e Energia S.A is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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