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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · PL · ISIN PLZCPLC00036

GA Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA

PCE · WAR

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 5.96 PLN · Overvalued (−17%)
!Quality 35/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -29.2% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 10 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

14.20 PLN 6.80 PLN Fair Value 5.96 PLN Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.80 PLN – 14.20 PLN · fair‑value band 5.14 PLN – 6.86 PLN · the 7.22 PLN price screens above the 5.96 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A. operates as a manufacturer of compound fertilizers in Poland, Germany, other EU countries, South America, and internationally.

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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A. operates as a manufacturer of compound fertilizers in Poland, Germany, other EU countries, South America, and internationally. The company offers compound fertilizers, nitrogen fertilizers with sulphur, nitrogenous fertilizers, and phospho-nitrogenous fertilizers; inorganic chemicals, organic chemicals, and RedNox chemicals; and pigments under the TYTANPOL brand. It is also involved in the overhaul and investment services for the mechanical engineering and construction industries; construction of installations and appliances made of plastics; maintenance and workshop works; treatment of metals; and technical supervision services; investment and technical activities in automatics and power engineering; repairs of control and instrumentation equipment and power generation plant and equipment, plant engineering in automatics and power generation comprising plant engineering in process control and visualization systems. In addition, the company engages in the provision of transport services; sea port operation, port construction, property management, research work, sea and inland shipping, and coastal water transportation services; production of propylene and polypropylene; production of coagulants for water and sewage treatment; designing chemical processes for drinking, industrial, and wastewater treatment; selection and supply of chemical dosing equipment; water treatment process optimization; and restoration of lakes. Further, it is involved in the engineering design business; PMC and EPC, and turn-key contractor business; manufacture and sale of titanium white and other chemicals; and generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Police, Poland. Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police S.A. is a subsidiary of Grupa Azoty S.A.

Stock analysis

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE) currently trades at 7.22 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.96 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 5.14 PLN (bear) to 6.86 PLN (bull), the price of 7.22 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA reported revenue of 2.5B PLN in FY2025 versus 3.2B PLN in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −730M PLN in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 897M PLN (≈ $233M) · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) −5.73 PLN · Net margin −29.6% · Return on equity −378% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% · Operating margin −4.6% · Revenue (TTM) 2.4B PLN.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −17%, PCE screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.4% (2020) → −8.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

PCE screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 180 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.21× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)10 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA · Fair Value
5.96 PLN −21%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PCE

Frequently asked questions

Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.96 PLN versus a price of 7.22 PLN, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PCE?
Our model-based fair value for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is 5.96 PLN (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.22 PLN.
What is the quality score of PCE?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 5.96 PLN (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.14 PLN, optimistic scenario 6.86 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 5.96 PLN, about −17% upside versus a price of 7.22 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.14 PLN, optimistic scenario 6.86 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA it is 5.96 PLN per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 7.22 PLN. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, PCE trades above its calculated fair value: price 7.22 PLN, fair value 5.96 PLN, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PCE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.22 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (5.96 PLN). For Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA the two are 1.26 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA worth?
The market values Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA at about 897M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 7.22 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 5.96 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PCE?
Our models span a range for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA: cautious scenario 5.14 PLN, base 5.96 PLN, optimistic 6.86 PLN per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 7.22 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PCE?
The PEG ratio of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is 2.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (as of Sep 13, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PCE from its 52-week high?
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA trades at 7.22 PLN, about 16% below its 52-week high of 8.62 PLN and 5% above the low of 6.88 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 5.96 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 7.22 PLN, calculated fair value 5.96 PLN (−17%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PCE calculated?
We run Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 5.96 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 7.22 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 5.96 PLN, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.86 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
The market capitalisation of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is 897M PLN (≈ $233M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Earnings per share at Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA are −5.73 PLN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
The net margin of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is −29.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is −378% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
The operating margin of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Revenue at Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE)?
Earnings per share at Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA are growing −96.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is −148M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA (PCE) carry?
The net debt of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is 761M PLN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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