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Pinewood Technologies Group (PDGNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $376M

PT Pinewood Technologies Group logo Pinewood Technologies Group PDGNF · US
Price$5.50
Fair Value$2.78
Upside-49.5%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $1.96 – $3.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +57.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.96 to $3.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.00 $2.81 Fair Value $2.78 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.81 – $10.00 · fair‑value band $1.96 – $3.59 · the $5.50 price screens above the $2.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Pinewood Technologies Group (PDGNF) currently trades at $5.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $22.6M. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at $46.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.96 (bear case) to $3.59 (bull case); at $5.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -49%, PDGNF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $3.36 $4.72 $23.77 76
ROIC Compounder $1.02 $1.11 $1.18 72
Gordon GGM $0.7200 $0.7700 $0.8600 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.18 $6.63 $9.07 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.95 $4.83 $5.44 54
EPV $1.02 $1.11 $1.18 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7200 $0.7700 $0.8600 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7200 $0.8500 $1.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.60 $12.79 $15.99 63
P/S Multiple $0.4200 $0.5600 $0.7000 58
P/B Multiple $7.08 $9.44 $11.80 55
EV/EBIT $1.69 $2.12 $2.55 53
EV/EBITDA $2.51 $3.22 $3.93 54
EV/Revenue $0.7900 $0.9500 $1.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.18 $1.58 $2.36 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.36 $4.72 $23.77 76
ROIC Compounder $1.02 $1.11 $1.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.76 $9.66 $12.56 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($9.66) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $22.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%
Net margin 333%
Return on equity 15.9%
Free cash flow −$4.6M FY2025
Operating margin 24.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.7800
EPS growth (YoY) +1.1%
Net debt $46.8M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pinewood Technologies Group PLC operates as a cloud-based dealer management software provider that offers software solutions to the automotive industry in the United Kingdom and internationally. It offers end-to-end solution that empowers vehicle retailers with efficient business processes.

Full company description

Pinewood Technologies Group PLC operates as a cloud-based dealer management software provider that offers software solutions to the automotive industry in the United Kingdom and internationally. It offers end-to-end solution that empowers vehicle retailers with efficient business processes. The company was formerly known as Pendragon PLC and changed its name to Pinewood Technologies Group PLC in February 2024. Pinewood Technologies Group PLC was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Nottingham, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pinewood Technologies Group reported revenue of $40.5M in FY2025 versus $2.8B in FY2020, a compound −57.0%/yr. Reported net income was $50.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$40.5M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−77.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−57.0%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−37.5%
Revenue −57.0%/yr
FY20 $2.8B
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $3.6B
FY23 $22.6M
FY25 $40.5M
Net income
FY20 −$18.2M
FY21 $61.5M
FY22 $45.5M
FY23 $37.9M
FY25 $50.3M

PDGNF screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pinewood Technologies Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PDGNF

Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.84× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 16.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 66 · sector 9
PAST 63 · sector 20
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $70.38 $24.58 -65%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $202.66 $241.86 +19%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 476.50 TWD 576.75 TWD +21%
CarMax, Inc KMX $58.47 $29.62 -49%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $339.16 $610.95 +80%
AutoNation, Inc AN $205.72 $329.77 +60%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA $76.89 $66.27 -14%
Valvoline Inc VVV $38.64 $24.57 -36%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $39.46 $33.81 -14%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE A$20.83 A$17.66 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pinewood Technologies Group (PDGNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.78 versus a price of $5.50, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PDGNF?
Our model-based fair value for Pinewood Technologies Group is $2.78 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.50.
What is the quality score of PDGNF?
Pinewood Technologies Group has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pinewood Technologies Group (PDGNF)?
Pinewood Technologies Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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