Paradox Interactive AB (PDX) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SE · Market cap 13.6B SEK

Analysis

Paradox Interactive AB (PDX) currently trades at kr 124.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 34.63 — implying the stock looks roughly 72.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) develops and publishes strategy and management games on PC and consoles in the United States, Rest of Europe, Sweden, and internationally. The company's game portfolio comprises various franchises, such as Age of Wonders, Cities: Skylines, Crusader Kings, Europa Universalis, Hearts of Iron, Prison Architect, Stellaris, the Surviving games, and Victoria, as well as World of Darkness brand. Paradox Interactive AB (publ) was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.