PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of PG FOILS LTD. ₹319, price ₹200, upside +60.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹98.96 – ₹490.40 · fair‑value band ₹210.67 – ₹399.00 · the ₹199.50 price screens below the ₹319.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ) currently trades at ₹199.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹319.20, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹210.67 (bear) to ₹399.00 (bull), the price of ₹199.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
PG FOILS LTD. reported revenue of ₹3.2B in FY2026 versus ₹3.7B in FY2022, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −₹82.4M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.6B (≈ $26.6M) · P/S ratio 0.71 · EPS (TTM) ₹−699.44 · Net margin −2.6% · Return on equity −2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 1.5% · Revenue (TTM) ₹3.6B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 60%, PGFOILQ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹210.67Fair Value ₹319.20Bull ₹399.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−35.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2021) → −3.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 78 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹319.20 versus a price of ₹199.50, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PGFOILQ?
Our model-based fair value for PG FOILS LTD. is ₹319.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹199.50.
What is the quality score of PGFOILQ?
PG FOILS LTD. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹319.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹210.67, optimistic scenario ₹399.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PG FOILS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹319.20, about +60% upside versus a price of ₹199.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹210.67, optimistic scenario ₹399.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
PG FOILS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PG FOILS LTD. it is ₹319.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹199.50. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PG FOILS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, PGFOILQ trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹199.50, fair value ₹319.20, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PGFOILQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹199.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹319.20). For PG FOILS LTD. the two are ₹119.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PG FOILS LTD. worth?
The market values PG FOILS LTD. at about ₹2.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹199.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹319.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PGFOILQ?
Our models span a range for PG FOILS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹210.67, base ₹319.20, optimistic ₹399.00 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹199.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for PG FOILS LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PGFOILQ from its 52-week high?
PG FOILS LTD. trades at ₹199.50, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹286.05 and 17% above the low of ₹171.15 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹319.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PG FOILS LTD.?
From the same area (Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Aluminum Corporation, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PG FOILS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹199.50, calculated fair value ₹319.20 (+60%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PGFOILQ calculated?
We run PG FOILS LTD. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹319.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PG FOILS LTD. currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹199.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹319.20, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PG FOILS LTD. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹210.67). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹210.67 to ₹399.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PG FOILS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
The market capitalisation of PG FOILS LTD. is ₹2.6B (≈ $26.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PG FOILS LTD. is 0.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
Earnings per share at PG FOILS LTD. are ₹−699.44. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
The net margin of PG FOILS LTD. is −2.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PG FOILS LTD. is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PG FOILS LTD. is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
The operating margin of PG FOILS LTD. is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
Revenue at PG FOILS LTD. is growing +53.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ)?
Earnings per share at PG FOILS LTD. are growing +54.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ) generate?
The free cash flow of PG FOILS LTD. is −₹1.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PG FOILS LTD. (PGFOILQ) carry?
The net debt of PG FOILS LTD. is ₹1.4B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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