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Pinewood Technologies Group (PINWF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $372M

PT Pinewood Technologies Group logo Pinewood Technologies Group PINWF · US
Price$5.87
Fair Value$4.61
Upside-21.5%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 124.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range $3.27 – $18.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +51.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.27 to $18.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.00 $2.85 Fair Value $4.61 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.85 – $10.00 · fair‑value band $3.27 – $18.43 · the $5.87 price screens above the $4.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Pinewood Technologies Group (PINWF) currently trades at $5.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.61, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $40.5M. Revenue grew 27.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 41.4%. Net debt stands at $45.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.27 (bear case) to $18.43 (bull case); at $5.87, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -21%, PINWF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $2.58 $3.62 $19.50 76
ROIC Compounder $0.8100 $0.8800 $0.9400 72
Gordon GGM $0.5900 $1.07 $1.47 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.94 $12.00 $23.23 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.97 $20.72 $29.08 54
Lynch FV $10.71 $15.30 $19.88 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.71 $15.30 $19.88 46
EPV $0.8100 $0.8800 $0.9400 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5900 $1.07 $1.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5900 $0.9700 $1.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.57 $7.43 $9.29 63
P/S Multiple $0.4000 $0.5300 $0.6600 58
P/B Multiple $3.99 $5.32 $6.65 55
EV/EBIT $1.05 $1.30 $1.56 53
EV/EBITDA $1.62 $2.07 $2.51 54
EV/Revenue $0.6600 $0.8200 $0.9800 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8900 $1.19 $1.77 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.58 $3.62 $19.50 76
ROIC Compounder $0.8100 $0.8800 $0.9400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.17 $18.82 $24.46 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($18.82) versus Economic Profit ($0.8800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $40.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.8%
Net margin 124%
Return on equity 41.4%
Free cash flow −$4.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.0
More key figures
Operating margin -29.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.6400
Net debt $45.8M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pinewood Technologies Group PLC operates as a cloud-based dealer management software provider in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. The company primarily offers automotive retail software to motor vehicle dealers. It also offers consultancy, training, and installation services.

Full company description

Pinewood Technologies Group PLC operates as a cloud-based dealer management software provider in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Africa, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. The company primarily offers automotive retail software to motor vehicle dealers. It also offers consultancy, training, and installation services. The company was formerly known as Pendragon PLC and changed its name to Pinewood Technologies Group PLC in February 2024. Pinewood Technologies Group PLC was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Birmingham, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pinewood Technologies Group reported revenue of $40.5M in FY2025 versus $378M in FY2019, a compound −31.1%/yr. Reported net income was $50.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$40.5M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−39.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.8%
Revenue −31.1%/yr
FY19 $378M
FY20 $491M
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $19.1M
FY25 $40.5M
Net income
FY19 −$10.8M
FY20 −$5.0M
FY21 $61.5M
FY22 $45.5M
FY25 $50.3M

PINWF screens 21% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pinewood Technologies Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PINWF

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 124% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -30% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 9.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 5 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 38
PAST 100 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Pinewood Technologies Group (PINWF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.61 versus a price of $5.87, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PINWF?
Our model-based fair value for Pinewood Technologies Group is $4.61 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.87.
What is the quality score of PINWF?
Pinewood Technologies Group has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pinewood Technologies Group (PINWF)?
Pinewood Technologies Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $40.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PINWF?
The net profit margin of Pinewood Technologies Group is about 124.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 124.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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