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PKSHA Technology Inc (PKSHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $539M

PT PKSHA Technology Inc logo PKSHA Technology Inc PKSHF · US
Price$17.40
Fair Value$15.84
Upside-9.0%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/10)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $12.18 – $20.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $17.21 to $15.84 (−8.0%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $12.18 (bear) to $20.04 (bull), base $15.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$17.40 $17.40 Fair Value $15.84 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $17.40 – $17.40 · fair‑value band $12.18 – $20.04 · the $17.40 price screens above the $15.84 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PKSHA Technology Inc (PKSHF) currently trades at $17.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.84, implying the stock looks roughly 9.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PKSHA Technology Inc generated revenue of $30.4B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 89.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 35.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.18 (bear case) to $20.04 (bull case); at $17.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -9%, PKSHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $15.06 $22.60 $36.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.90 $26.24 $45.25 74
ROIC Compounder $12.32 $15.75 $19.62 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.83 $21.44 $38.19 38
Owner Earnings $13.69 $24.47 $44.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.90 $23.40 $40.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.59 $37.12 $67.09 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.59 $29.19 $47.36 38
10Y Revenue Exit $14.79 $27.28 $36.58 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $19.58 $40.01 $78.25 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.62 $28.58 $50.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.85 $26.83 $37.65 54
Lynch FV $9.44 $13.49 $17.53 50
PEG = 1.0 $9.44 $13.49 $17.53 46
EPV $10.69 $11.65 $12.45 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.88 $15.84 $19.80 63
P/S Multiple $7.21 $9.62 $12.02 58
P/B Multiple $7.21 $9.62 $12.02 55
EV/EBIT $23.71 $30.40 $37.09 53
EV/EBITDA $24.35 $31.25 $38.15 54
EV/Revenue $13.79 $18.13 $22.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.64 $4.87 $7.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.06 $22.60 $36.46 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.90 $26.24 $45.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.66 $5.90 $6.11 61
ROIC Compounder $12.32 $15.75 $19.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.91 $19.88 $25.84 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($27.28) versus Asset-Based ($4.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $30.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +89.1%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 7.2%
Free cash flow $4.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 35.5
More key figures
Operating margin 18.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.4900
EPS growth (YoY) +26.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PKSHA Technology Inc. provides algorithmic solutions in Japan. The company offers demand forecasting and optimization, shelf allocation automation and optimization, and shift optimization solutions for retail and distribution industries; VIN recognition, parking DX, urban security, and mobile-related solutions for automotive and urban development …

Full company description

PKSHA Technology Inc. provides algorithmic solutions in Japan. The company offers demand forecasting and optimization, shelf allocation automation and optimization, and shift optimization solutions for retail and distribution industries; VIN recognition, parking DX, urban security, and mobile-related solutions for automotive and urban development industries; and fraud detection and credit AI scoring solutions for lending and banking industries. It also provides insurance fraud claims detection, business efficiency, and risk prediction solutions for insurance industry; learning history utilization, business automation, online calling solutions for education industry; and diagnostic aids, pharmaceutical marketing support, personalized medicine and personal health record utilization, and operational DX solutions for medical and healthcare industries. In addition, the company offers PKSHA ChatAgent, an AI-powered conversational automation solution; PKSHA FAQ, which enables customers to self-resolve inquiries; PKSHA VoiceAgent, an automated AI voice conversation solution; PKSHA Speech Insight, an AI voice transcription and call analysis solution; and PKSHA Knowledge Stream, a solution to create FAQs from documents and interaction logs. Further, it provides PKSHA AI helpdesk for internal inquiries; no-code RPA solutions; and Yomel by PKSHA that automatically transcribe meetings and create minutes with AI speech recognition. PKSHA Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PKSHA Technology Inc reported revenue of $21.8B in FY2025 versus $11.5B in FY2022, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025, compounding +47.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$21.8B
Latest YoY
+28.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.7%
Revenue +23.7%/yr
FY22 $11.5B
FY23 $13.9B
FY24 $16.9B
FY25 $21.8B
Net income +47.5%/yr
FY22 $837M
FY23 $4.7M
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PKSHA Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PKSHF

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 89% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 29 · sector 15
HEALTH 97 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PKSHA Technology Inc (PKSHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.84 versus a price of $17.40, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PKSHF?
Our model-based fair value for PKSHA Technology Inc is $15.84 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $17.40.
What is the quality score of PKSHF?
PKSHA Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PKSHA Technology Inc (PKSHF)?
PKSHA Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PKSHF?
The net profit margin of PKSHA Technology Inc is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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