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Pioneer Oil and Gas (POGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $406K

PO Pioneer Oil and Gas logo Pioneer Oil and Gas POGS · US
Price$0.0970
Fair Value$0.0960
Upside-1.0%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 78.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0720 – $0.1200 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.1000 to $0.0960 (−4.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.5500 $0.0075 Fair Value $0.0960 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0075 – $0.5500 · fair‑value band $0.0720 – $0.1200 · the $0.0970 price screens above the $0.0960 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Pioneer Oil and Gas (POGS) currently trades at $0.0970, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0960, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Pioneer Oil and Gas generated revenue of $415K at a net margin of 78.8%. Revenue declined 75.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 5.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0720 (bear case) to $0.1200 (bull case); at $0.0970, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -1%, POGS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $415K
Revenue growth (YoY) -75.3%
Net margin 78.8%
Return on equity 27.2%
Free cash flow −$153K FY2025
P/E ratio 5.1
More key figures
Operating margin -156%
EPS (TTM) $0.0200
Net cash $129K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Pioneer Oil and Gas engages in acquiring, developing, producing, and selling oil and gas properties to companies located in the continental United States. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in South Jordan, Utah.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Pioneer Oil and Gas reported revenue of $202K in FY2025 versus $282K in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$303K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$202K
Latest YoY
−8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−25.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Revenue −8.0%/yr
FY21 $282K
FY22 $495K
FY23 $420K
FY24 $221K
FY25 $202K
Net income
FY21 $155K
FY22 $30.3K
FY23 $87.7K
FY24 −$144K
FY25 −$303K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pioneer Oil and Gas Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POGS

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 79% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -156% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -75% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 13
FUTURE 0 · sector 7
PAST 100 · sector 45
HEALTH 100 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 79

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 26.72 SAR 20.14 SAR -25%
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $144.51 $90.37 -37%
Chevron Corporation CHEV C$22.88 C$7.97 -65%
PetroChina Company 601857 ¥10.29 ¥16.51 +60%
Shell plc SHELL €38.04 €46.09 +21%
TotalEnergies SE TTE C$13.80 C$7.92 -43%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 12,540 ARS 30,914 ARS +147%
BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP $40.83 $12.71 -69%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.03 ¥4.46 -11%
Equinor ASA EQNR $36.19 $34.53 -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Pioneer Oil and Gas (POGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0960 versus a price of $0.0970, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of POGS?
Our model-based fair value for Pioneer Oil and Gas is $0.0960 (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0970.
What is the quality score of POGS?
Pioneer Oil and Gas has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Pioneer Oil and Gas (POGS)?
Pioneer Oil and Gas reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $415K (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of POGS?
The net profit margin of Pioneer Oil and Gas is about 78.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 78.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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