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Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Pioneer Oil & Gas $0.08, price $0.08, upside +3.7%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · ISIN US7238263013

PO Pioneer Oil & Gas logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Pioneer Oil & Gas

POGS · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.0809 · Fairly valued (+4%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 78.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.5500 $0.0075 Fair Value $0.0809 Jul 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0075 – $0.5500 · fair‑value band $0.0610 – $0.1008 · the $0.0780 price screens below the $0.0809 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Pioneer Oil and Gas engages in acquiring, developing, producing, and selling oil and gas properties to companies located in the continental United States. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in South Jordan, Utah.

Stock analysis

Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS) currently trades at $0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0809, implying the stock looks roughly 3.6% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0610 (bear) to $0.1008 (bull), the price of $0.0780 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Pioneer Oil & Gas reported revenue of $202K in FY2025 versus $282K in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$303K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $562K · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 1.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin −149% · Return on equity 27.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.8% · Operating margin −156%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 4%, POGS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0610 Fair Value $0.0809 Bull $0.1008
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0197 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1200 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−34.8% (2020) → −93.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 52 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets −15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 79% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −156% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −75% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.20× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.36× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)38 · sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 70

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 25.64 SAR 20.14 SAR −21%
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM $158.71 $89.68 −43%
Chevron Corporation CVX $202.41 $90.66 −55%
PetroChina Company 601857 ¥10.79 ¥15.47 +43%
TotalEnergies SE TTE €78.15 €69.85 −11%
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A XPBRA €7.99 €2.72 −66%
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 ¥5.29 ¥3.74 −29%
Equinor ASA EQNR kr 406.20 kr 342.23 −16%
Eni S.p.A ENI €23.38 €13.40 −43%
Suncor Energy Inc SU $66.94 $70.17 +5%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pioneer Oil & Gas Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/POGS

Frequently asked questions

Is Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0809 versus a price of $0.0780, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of POGS?
Our model-based fair value for Pioneer Oil & Gas is $0.0809 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0780.
What is the quality score of POGS?
Pioneer Oil & Gas has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0809 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0610, optimistic scenario $0.1008. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pioneer Oil & Gas stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0809, about +4% upside versus a price of $0.0780 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0610, optimistic scenario $0.1008. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
Pioneer Oil & Gas reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $415K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pioneer Oil & Gas it is $0.0809 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0780. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pioneer Oil & Gas stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, POGS trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0780, fair value $0.0809, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of POGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0780); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0809). For Pioneer Oil & Gas the two are $0.0029 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pioneer Oil & Gas worth?
The market values Pioneer Oil & Gas at about $562K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0780; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0809 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about POGS?
Our models span a range for Pioneer Oil & Gas: cautious scenario $0.0610, base $0.0809, optimistic $0.1008 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0780). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of POGS?
Pioneer Oil & Gas trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0809 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pioneer Oil & Gas (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 27.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is POGS from its 52-week high?
Pioneer Oil & Gas trades at $0.0780, about 52% below its 52-week high of $0.1620 and 20% above the low of $0.0650 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0809 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pioneer Oil & Gas?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pioneer Oil & Gas stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0780, calculated fair value $0.0809 (+4%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of POGS calculated?
We run Pioneer Oil & Gas through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0809, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Pioneer Oil & Gas currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.0780. Our model-based fair value is $0.0809, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pioneer Oil & Gas right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Pioneer Oil & Gas

How large is the market capitalisation of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
The market capitalisation of Pioneer Oil & Gas is $562K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pioneer Oil & Gas is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
Earnings per share at Pioneer Oil & Gas are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
The net margin of Pioneer Oil & Gas is −149% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pioneer Oil & Gas is 27.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pioneer Oil & Gas is −7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
The operating margin of Pioneer Oil & Gas is −156% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS)?
Revenue at Pioneer Oil & Gas is growing −75.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS) generate?
The free cash flow of Pioneer Oil & Gas is −$153K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Pioneer Oil & Gas (POGS) hold?
Pioneer Oil & Gas holds more cash than debt, $129K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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