Polygiene Group (POLYG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 182M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from kr 1.08 to kr 2.16 (+100.0%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (kr 2.08 to kr 2.22), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 4.18 – kr 51.47 · fair‑value band kr 2.08 – kr 2.22 · the kr 4.64 price screens above the kr 2.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Polygiene Group (POLYG) currently trades at kr 4.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 2.16, implying the stock looks roughly 53.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Polygiene Group generated revenue of 136M SEK at a net margin of -5.0%. Revenue declined 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 34.2M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 2.08 (bear case) to kr 2.22 (bull case); at kr 4.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -53%, POLYG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 5.07) versus Earnings-Based (kr 1.10). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Polygiene Group AB provides antimicrobial technologies for textiles and other hard surfaces in the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Polygiene and Addmaster.
Full company description
Polygiene Group AB provides antimicrobial technologies for textiles and other hard surfaces in the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Polygiene and Addmaster. The company offers antimicrobial, anti-viral, and odor control solutions, including OdorCrunch, StayFresh, ScentMaster, ViralOff, BioMaster, and VeriMaster under the Polygiene brand. It serves partners across various categories, such as sports and outdoors, fashion and lifestyle, workwear, hospitality, home and pets, healthcare, water, industrial, and paper and packaging. The company was formerly known as Polygiene AB (publ.) and changed its name to Polygiene Group AB in June 2022. Polygiene Group AB was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Polygiene Group reported revenue of kr 147M in FY2025 versus kr 182M in FY2021, a compound −5.2%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 5.6M in FY2025.
POLYG screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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