Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk IDR 194, price IDR 468, upside -58.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 36.11 IDR – 468.00 IDR · fair‑value band 127.57 IDR – 242.33 IDR · the 468.00 IDR price screens above the 193.86 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk provides freight forwarding services for export and import in Indonesia. The company operates through two segments, Land Transportation Services and Real Estate.
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PT Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk provides freight forwarding services for export and import in Indonesia. The company operates through two segments, Land Transportation Services and Real Estate. It offers international sea and air freight; trucking and custom brokerage; and reefer cargo services; and transportation management services, which include handling of shipping and/or packing of goods. The company also engages in the real estate development activities. PT Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Jakarta Timur, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL) currently trades at 468.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 193.86 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 141.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 244.40 IDR per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the 468.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 66.85 IDR, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 127.57 IDR (bear) to 242.33 IDR (bull), the price of 468.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk reported revenue of 175B IDR in FY2025 versus 259B IDR in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was 7.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 361B IDR (≈ $20.2M) · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) 23.92 IDR · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 445% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −59%, PPGL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 127.57 IDRFair Value 193.86 IDRBull 242.33 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (17.57 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.3% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Is Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 193.86 IDR versus a price of 468.00 IDR, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PPGL?
Our model-based fair value for Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 193.86 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 468.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of PPGL?
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 193.86 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 127.57 IDR, optimistic scenario 242.33 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 193.86 IDR, about −59% upside versus a price of 468.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 127.57 IDR, optimistic scenario 242.33 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 175B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk pay a dividend?
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +32.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PPGL use?
Our models discount Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk that is +32.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies +32.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (+32.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.81 %: that much free cash flow Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk it is 193.86 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 468.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, PPGL trades above its calculated fair value: price 468.00 IDR, fair value 193.86 IDR, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (468.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (193.86 IDR). For Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk the two are 274.14 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk worth?
The market values Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk at about 361B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 468.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 193.86 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPGL?
Our models span a range for Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk: cautious scenario 127.57 IDR, base 193.86 IDR, optimistic 242.33 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 468.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of PPGL?
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 193.86 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.7, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 12.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PPGL from its 52-week high?
Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk trades at 468.00 IDR, at its 52-week high of 468.00 IDR and 445% above the low of 85.81 IDR (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 193.86 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 468.00 IDR, calculated fair value 193.86 IDR (−59%), Quality Score 43/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPGL calculated?
We run Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 193.86 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 468.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 193.86 IDR, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (242.33 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (127.57 IDR to 242.33 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The market capitalisation of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 361B IDR (≈ $20.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 0.79 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Earnings per share at Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk are 23.92 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The dividend yield of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 4.2% (payout 81.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The net margin of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
The operating margin of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Revenue at Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is growing −33.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL)?
Earnings per share at Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk are growing −56.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL) carry?
The net debt of Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk is 78.8B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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