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Precise Biometrics AB (PREC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Precise Biometrics AB stock SEK 0.10, price SEK 0.52, that is 80.4% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials SE · ISIN SE0018013849

PB Precise Biometrics AB logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Precise Biometrics AB

PREC · ST
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 80% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Revenue last quarter 29% below a year ago.
Fair value kr 0.1020 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 31/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.4 %/yr in SEK)
Loss-making · -33.4% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 13/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 12.74 kr 0.4635 Fair Value kr 0.1020 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.4635 – kr 12.74 · fair‑value band kr 0.0765 – kr 0.1530 · the kr 0.5200 price screens above the kr 0.1020 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Precise Biometrics AB (publ) operates in the field of cybersecurity and biometric solutions in Sweden, Taiwan, China, the United States, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Digital Identity and Biometric Technologies.

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It offers Precise Access, a physical access management system based on biometrics, such as facial recognition; Precise Visit system for secure and efficient visitor management in companies; Precise BioMatch Automotive for identity authentication in cars and other automotive; and Precise BioMatch Smart Card for identity authentication in smart cards.

The company also provides Precise BioMatch Mobile for identity authentication in smartphones and tablets; Precise BioLive, an anti-tampering and liveness product for preventing fraud and tampering using fake palm or fingerprints; Precise BioMatch Smart door lock for identity authentication door locks; Precise BioMatch Laptop for identity authentication in laptops; and BioEnhance for image enhancement.

It offers its products to sensor manufacturers, systems integrators, and suppliers of applications. Precise Biometrics AB (publ) was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Precise Biometrics AB (PREC) currently trades at kr 0.5200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.1020, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 0.2250 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the kr 0.5200 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.0400, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 0.0765 (bear) to kr 0.1530 (bull), the price of kr 0.5200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Precise Biometrics AB reported revenue of 77.8M SEK in FY2025 versus 83.3M SEK in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −19.9M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 93.4M SEK (≈ $9.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.33 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.2400 · Net margin −33.4% · Return on equity −18.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −73.5% · Revenue (TTM) 68.8M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 83% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −80%, PREC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.0400 to kr 0.3600). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 0.0765 Fair Value kr 0.1020 Bull kr 0.1530
Price kr 0.5200 · Downside -80.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF kr 0.0900 kr 0.1200 kr 0.1800 80
Growth DCF kr 0.0900 kr 0.1200 kr 0.1700 79
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.0800 kr 0.1000 kr 0.1300 74
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 0.0900 kr 0.1200 kr 0.1800 80
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.0800 kr 0.1000 kr 0.1300 74
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.2000 kr 0.3300 kr 0.4900 74
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.0800 kr 0.1000 kr 0.1300 68
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 0.1600 kr 0.2600 kr 0.4200 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 0.2800 kr 0.3600 kr 0.4400 67
EV/Revenue kr 0.0800 kr 0.0900 kr 0.1100 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0300 kr 0.0400 kr 0.0600 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.0900 kr 0.1200 kr 0.1700 79

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 58
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 35
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 1
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.3% (2020) → −22.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+30.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +28.2% a year for the price.

PREC screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with Allegion plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 104 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −33.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −73.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −29.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.09× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.71× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.36× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 142.0× · Priciest 25%
PEG 5.71× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥14.46 ¥32.12 +122% vs PREC
ADT Inc ADT $9.93 $10.67 +7% vs PREC
The Brink's Company BCO $114.57 $121.16 +6% vs PREC
Brady Corporation BRC $79.92 $84.37 +6% vs PREC
S-1 Corporation 012750 98,600 KRW 99,629 KRW +1% vs PREC
Loomis AB LOOMIS kr 513.50 kr 496.43 −3% vs PREC
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $173.07 $121.81 −30% vs PREC
Allegion plc ALLE $190.52 $129.15 −32% vs PREC
CoreCivic, Inc CXW $29.83 $18.76 −37% vs PREC
The GEO Group GEO $30.14 $13.08 −57% vs PREC

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Precise Biometrics AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PREC

Frequently asked questions

Is Precise Biometrics AB (PREC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.1020 versus a price of kr 0.5200, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PREC?
Our model-based fair value for Precise Biometrics AB is kr 0.1020 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.5200.
What is the quality score of PREC?
Precise Biometrics AB has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.1020 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.0765, optimistic scenario kr 0.1530. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Precise Biometrics AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.1020, about 80% lower versus a price of kr 0.5200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.0765, optimistic scenario kr 0.1530. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
Precise Biometrics AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 68.8M SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What growth is priced into Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Precise Biometrics AB would have to grow free cash flow by +30.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.4 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PREC use?
Our models discount Precise Biometrics AB at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Precise Biometrics AB that is +30.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Precise Biometrics AB (PREC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Precise Biometrics AB grew -3.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +30.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Precise Biometrics AB (+30.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.34 %: that much free cash flow Precise Biometrics AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Precise Biometrics AB it is kr 0.1020 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of kr 0.5200. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Precise Biometrics AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, PREC trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 0.5200, fair value kr 0.1020, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PREC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 0.5200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.1020). For Precise Biometrics AB the two are kr 0.4180 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Precise Biometrics AB worth?
The market values Precise Biometrics AB at about 93.4M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is kr 0.5200; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.1020 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PREC?
Our models span a range for Precise Biometrics AB: cautious scenario kr 0.0765, base kr 0.1020, optimistic kr 0.1530 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price kr 0.5200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PREC?
The PEG ratio of Precise Biometrics AB is 5.71 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Precise Biometrics AB (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −18.1%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PREC from its 52-week high?
Precise Biometrics AB trades at kr 0.5200, about 83% below its 52-week high of kr 3.00 and 12% above the low of kr 0.4635 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.1020 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Precise Biometrics AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Precise Biometrics AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price kr 0.5200, calculated fair value kr 0.1020 (−80%), Quality Score 31/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PREC calculated?
We run Precise Biometrics AB through 9 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 0.1020 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Precise Biometrics AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was kr 0.5200. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.1020, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Precise Biometrics AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.1530). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.0765 to kr 0.1530) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Precise Biometrics AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The market capitalisation of Precise Biometrics AB is 93.4M SEK (≈ $9.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Precise Biometrics AB is 1.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
Earnings per share at Precise Biometrics AB are kr −0.2400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The net margin of Precise Biometrics AB is −33.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Precise Biometrics AB is −18.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Precise Biometrics AB is −8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
The operating margin of Precise Biometrics AB is −73.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Precise Biometrics AB (PREC)?
Revenue at Precise Biometrics AB is growing −29.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Precise Biometrics AB (PREC) hold?
Precise Biometrics AB holds more cash than debt, 7.5M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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