Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) $0.36, price $4.19, upside -91.4%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.20 – $187.80 · fair‑value band $0.2700 – $0.4500 · the $4.19 price screens above the $0.3600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
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Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles in Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and internationally.
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Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles in Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers battery electric vehicles, including Polestar 2 (PS2); Polestar 3 (PS3); Polestar 4 (PS4); Polestar 5 (PS5); and Polestar 6 (PS6), a roadster. It also provides licenses and royalties; software and performance engineered kits; and carbon credits. In addition, the company is involved in vehicle leasing activity. Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW) currently trades at $4.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3600, 91.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.2700 (bear) to $0.4500 (bull), the price of $4.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.4B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $27.1B · P/S ratio 8.86 · EPS (TTM) $−27.28 · Net margin −77.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −36.9% · Operating margin −32.3% · Revenue (TTM) $3.1B · Revenue growth (YoY) +45.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −91%, PSNYW screens richer than that median.
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Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+50.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+79.2%
’19
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−72.2% (2020) → −65.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−91.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−14.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−77.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−32.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth45.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 50
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PSNYW
Frequently asked questions
Is Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3600 versus a price of $4.19, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PSNYW?
Our model-based fair value for Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is $0.3600 (as of Jun 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.19.
What is the quality score of PSNYW?
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3600 (as of Jun 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2700, optimistic scenario $0.4500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3600, about −91% upside versus a price of $4.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2700, optimistic scenario $0.4500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jun 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) it is $0.3600 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026), against a price of $4.19. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 23, 2026, PSNYW trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.19, fair value $0.3600, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PSNYW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3600). For Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) the two are $3.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) worth?
The market values Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) at about $27.1B (market capitalisation, as of Jun 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.19; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PSNYW?
Our models span a range for Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW): cautious scenario $0.2700, base $0.3600, optimistic $0.4500 per share (as of Jun 23, 2026, price $4.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (as of Jun 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is PSNYW from its 52-week high?
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) trades at $4.19, about 56% below its 52-week high of $9.44 and 90% above the low of $2.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW)?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 23, 2026: price $4.19, calculated fair value $0.3600 (−91%), Quality Score 31/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PSNYW calculated?
We run Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $4.19. Our model-based fair value is $0.3600, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW)
How large is the market capitalisation of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
The market capitalisation of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is $27.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is 8.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
Earnings per share at Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) are $−27.28. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
The net margin of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is −77.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is −36.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
The operating margin of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is −32.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW)?
Revenue at Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is growing +45.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW) generate?
The free cash flow of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is −$1.0B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) (PSNYW) carry?
The net debt of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW) is $5.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Jun 23, 2026