Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp (PZA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$433M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from C$10.23 to C$10.24 (+0.1%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- Our model range runs from C$8.63 (bear) to C$15.27 (bull), base C$10.24. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$7.42 – C$16.39 · fair‑value band C$8.63 – C$15.27 · the C$12.94 price screens above the C$10.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp (PZA) currently trades at C$12.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.24, implying the stock looks roughly 20.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp generated revenue of C$40.5M at a net margin of 76.6%. Revenue declined 3.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at C$46.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$8.63 (bear case) to C$15.27 (bull case); at C$12.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -21%, PZA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 19 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$15.97) versus Asset-Based (C$6.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp., through its subsidiary, Pizza Pizza Royalty Limited Partnership, franchises and operates quick-service restaurants under the Pizza Pizza and Pizza 73 brands in Canada. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp reported revenue of C$40.8M in FY2025 versus C$31.9M in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$31.3M in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
PZA screens 21% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
Compare Pizza Pizza Royalty Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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