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SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. (QNS) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SG · Market cap 274M SGD

SA SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. QNS · SG
Price0.4050 SGD
Fair Value0.3000 SGD
Upside-25.9%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -8.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.2600 SGD – 0.3400 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.1500 SGD to 0.3000 SGD (+100.0%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3400 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.39 SGD 0.3500 SGD Fair Value 0.3000 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3500 SGD – 1.39 SGD · fair‑value band 0.2600 SGD – 0.3400 SGD · the 0.4050 SGD price screens above the 0.3000 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. (QNS) currently trades at 0.4050 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3000 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. generated revenue of 266M SGD at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue grew 95.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.0%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.2600 SGD (bear case) to 0.3400 SGD (bull case); at 0.4050 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -26%, QNS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.0400 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0400 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 61
EV/EBITDA 0.4100 SGD 0.4700 SGD 0.5400 SGD 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0400 SGD 0.0700 SGD 0.0900 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0400 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0700 SGD 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.4100 SGD 0.4700 SGD 0.5400 SGD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2700 SGD 0.3600 SGD 0.5300 SGD 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (0.4700 SGD) versus Dividend Discount (0.0600 SGD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 266M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +95.4%
Net margin -8.0%
Return on equity -5.0%
Free cash flow −8.2M SGD FY2024
Operating margin -6.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0100 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) -62.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Southern Alliance Mining Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, and processing of iron ores in Malaysia. The company primarily explores for iron ore, gold, precious and base metals, and rare earth deposits. Its flagship project, the Chaah Mine, is located in Johor, Malaysia.

Full company description

Southern Alliance Mining Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, and processing of iron ores in Malaysia. The company primarily explores for iron ore, gold, precious and base metals, and rare earth deposits. Its flagship project, the Chaah Mine, is located in Johor, Malaysia. The company also provides pipe coating materials and management services. Additionally, it is involved in the mining, quarrying, and trading of various minerals and materials, as well as the processing and sale of other precious and base metals. The company has a strategic alliance with Brazilian Critical Minerals Limited for the development and distribution of rare earth products. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Kuantan, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. reported revenue of 166M SGD in FY2024 versus 254M SGD in FY2020, a compound −10.1%/yr. Reported net income was −4.4M SGD in FY2024.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
166M SGD
Latest YoY
+33.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Revenue −10.1%/yr
FY20 254M SGD
FY21 387M SGD
FY22 179M SGD
FY23 124M SGD
FY24 166M SGD
Net income
FY20 62.1M SGD
FY21 148M SGD
FY22 16.3M SGD
FY23 −7.8M SGD
FY24 −4.4M SGD

QNS screens 26% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QNS

Peer Group

Steel · 380 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 95% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.80× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 4
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. (QNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3000 SGD versus a price of 0.4050 SGD, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of QNS?
Our model-based fair value for SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. is 0.3000 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4050 SGD.
What is the quality score of QNS?
SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. (QNS)?
SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 266M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of QNS?
The net profit margin of SOUTHERN ALLIANCE MINING LTD. is about -8.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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